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Event GroupKALSHIElections

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

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Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

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8 markets tracked

Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

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Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?	Kalshi	39%
Will No new person be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?	Kalshi	28%
Will Jason Miller be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?	Kalshi	11%
Will Sage Steele be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?	Kalshi	9%
Will Kari Lake be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?	Kalshi	6%
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?	Kalshi	3%
Will Tucker Carlson be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?	Kalshi	3%
Will Steven Cheung be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

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39%

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About This Event

Before Jan 21, 2029 If the first new person to become White House Press Secretary after Issuance is X then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on who actually assumes the office of White House Press Secretary, not who is elected or nominated. Acting or interim appointments count as holding the position if they formally assume the office. If the same person continues in office through the expiration date, all markets referring to a person resolve to No, and "No new person" reso

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Jan 21, 2029

If the first new person to become White House Press Secretary after Issuance is X then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on who actually assumes the office of White House Press Secretary, not who is elected or nominated. Acting or interim appointments count as holding the position if they formally assume the office. If the same person continues in office through the expiration date, all markets referring to a person resolve to No, and "No new person" reso

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the first new person to become White House Press Secretary after Issuance is Tucker Carlson, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on who actually assumes the office of White House Press Secretary, not who is elected or nominated. Acting or interim appointmen"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Tucker Carlson be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 21, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Sage Steele be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 21, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.4% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 21, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.2% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Steven Cheung be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 21, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will No new person be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 21, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Kari Lake be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 21, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Jason Miller be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 21, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.9% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 21, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 39.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

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KALSHI

Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 39.0¢No 61.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

If the first new person to become White House Press Secretary after Issuance is Alina Habba, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on who actually assumes the office of White House Press Secretary, not who is elected or nominated. Acting or interim appointments

KALSHI

Will No new person be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 27.5¢No 72.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will No new person be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

If the first new person to become White House Press Secretary after Issuance is no new person, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on who actually assumes the office of White House Press Secretary, not who is elected or nominated. Acting or interim appointment

KALSHI

Will Jason Miller be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.1¢No 88.9¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Jason Miller be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

If the first new person to become White House Press Secretary after Issuance is Jason Miller, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on who actually assumes the office of White House Press Secretary, not who is elected or nominated. Acting or interim appointments

KALSHI

Will Sage Steele be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.6¢No 91.4¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Sage Steele be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

If the first new person to become White House Press Secretary after Issuance is Sage Steele, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on who actually assumes the office of White House Press Secretary, not who is elected or nominated. Acting or interim appointments

KALSHI

Will Kari Lake be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Kari Lake be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

If the first new person to become White House Press Secretary after Issuance is Kari Lake, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on who actually assumes the office of White House Press Secretary, not who is elected or nominated. Acting or interim appointments co

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/gnCDY-" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?"></iframe>

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Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

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Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

Markets (8)

Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

Will No new person be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

Will No new person be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

Will Jason Miller be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

Will Jason Miller be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

Will Sage Steele be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

Will Sage Steele be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

Will Kari Lake be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

Will Kari Lake be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

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Discussion

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

Will No new person be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

Will No new person be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

Will Jason Miller be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

Will Jason Miller be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

Will Sage Steele be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

Will Sage Steele be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

Will Kari Lake be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

Will Kari Lake be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

Related News & Context

Discussion

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