Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

NASCAR Bank of America 400: Top 3 Finishers

Total Volume

$26.84K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

NASCAR Bank of America 400: Top 3 Finishers

Vol

$26.84K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $26.84K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $26.84K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

39 markets tracked

Cup Series: Kyle Larson to finish in the top 3

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(39)

Market	Platform	Price
Cup Series: Kyle Larson to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	54%
Cup Series: Christopher Bell to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	46%
Cup Series: Chase Briscoe to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	41%
Cup Series: Denny Hamlin to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	39%
Cup Series: Ryan Blaney to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	38%
Cup Series: Tyler Reddick to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	30%
Cup Series: Austin Cindric to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	27%
Cup Series: Carson Hocevar to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	27%
Cup Series: Corey Heim to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	14%
Cup Series: Joey Logano to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	14%
Cup Series: Chase Elliott to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	13%
Cup Series: Chris Buescher to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	13%
Cup Series: Brad Keselowski to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	13%
Cup Series: Connor Zilisch to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	12%
Cup Series: Zane Smith to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	12%
Cup Series: Riley Herbst to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	12%
Cup Series: Josh Berry to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	12%
Cup Series: Ryan Preece to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	12%
Cup Series: Erik Jones to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	12%
Cup Series: Shane van Gisbergen to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	12%
Cup Series: Ricky Stenhouse Jr. to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	12%
Cup Series: Austin Dillon to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	12%
Cup Series: Michael McDowell to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	12%
Cup Series: AJ Allmendinger to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	12%
Cup Series: Ross Chastain to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	12%
Cup Series: Daniel Suarez to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	3%
Cup Series: Todd Gilliland to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Noah Gragson to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Austin Hill to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Cole Custer to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Ty Dillon to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: B.J. McLeod to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Ty Gibbs to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: William Byron to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Cody Ware to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Gray Gaulding to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: John Hunter Nemechek to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Alex Bowman to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Bubba Wallace to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

54%

Top Probability

$26.84K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

2026 NASCAR Bank of America 400 If X finishes in the top 3 in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at the 2026 NASCAR Bank of America 400 , then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determinations are not based on provisional results, we appreciate your patience. X retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor re

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** NASCAR Bank of America 400: Top 3 Finishers
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026 NASCAR Bank of America 400

If X finishes in the top 3 in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at the 2026 NASCAR Bank of America 400 , then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determinations are not based on provisional results, we appreciate your patience. X retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor re

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If B.J. McLeod finishes in the top 3 in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at the 2026 NASCAR Bank of America 400 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determi"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $26.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Cup Series: B.J. McLeod to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Cup Series: Connor Zilisch to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $205
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Cup Series: Corey Heim to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $448
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Cup Series: Ty Gibbs to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Cup Series: Carson Hocevar to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $492
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Cup Series: Zane Smith to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Cup Series: Riley Herbst to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Cup Series: Todd Gilliland to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Cup Series: Chase Briscoe to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Cup Series: Noah Gragson to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Cup Series: William Byron to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Cup Series: Austin Cindric to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Cup Series: Christopher Bell to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $5.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Cup Series: Austin Hill to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Cup Series: Cody Ware to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $14
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Cup Series: Josh Berry to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Cup Series: Daniel Suarez to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $399
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Cup Series: Gray Gaulding to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Cup Series: Cole Custer to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Cup Series: John Hunter Nemechek to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Cup Series: Ryan Preece to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Cup Series: Tyler Reddick to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 30.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Cup Series: Erik Jones to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Cup Series: Chase Elliott to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $994
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Cup Series: Alex Bowman to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $143
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Cup Series: Kyle Larson to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Cup Series: Bubba Wallace to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $761
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Cup Series: Ryan Blaney to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Cup Series: Ty Dillon to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 30. Cup Series: Chris Buescher to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 31. Cup Series: Shane van Gisbergen to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $600
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 32. Cup Series: Ricky Stenhouse Jr. to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $94
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 33. Cup Series: Austin Dillon to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 34. Cup Series: Joey Logano to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $421
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 35. Cup Series: Michael McDowell to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 36. Cup Series: Denny Hamlin to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $5.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 39.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.0% (0.0%)]

### 37. Cup Series: AJ Allmendinger to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 38. Cup Series: Brad Keselowski to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $86
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 39. Cup Series: Ross Chastain to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

NASCAR Bank of America 400: Top 3 Finishers

Volume$26.84K

Markets39

39 of 39

Sort:

KALSHI

Cup Series: Kyle Larson to finish in the top 3

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 53.5¢No 46.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Cup Series: Kyle Larson to finish in the top 3

If Kyle Larson finishes in the top 3 in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at the 2026 NASCAR Bank of America 400 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determi

KALSHI

Cup Series: Christopher Bell to finish in the top 3

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 45.5¢No 54.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Cup Series: Christopher Bell to finish in the top 3

If Christopher Bell finishes in the top 3 in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at the 2026 NASCAR Bank of America 400 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. De

KALSHI

Cup Series: Chase Briscoe to finish in the top 3

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 41.0¢No 59.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Cup Series: Chase Briscoe to finish in the top 3

If Chase Briscoe finishes in the top 3 in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at the 2026 NASCAR Bank of America 400 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Deter

KALSHI

Cup Series: Denny Hamlin to finish in the top 3

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 39.0¢No 61.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Cup Series: Denny Hamlin to finish in the top 3

If Denny Hamlin finishes in the top 3 in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at the 2026 NASCAR Bank of America 400 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determ

KALSHI

Cup Series: Ryan Blaney to finish in the top 3

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 37.5¢No 62.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Cup Series: Ryan Blaney to finish in the top 3

If Ryan Blaney finishes in the top 3 in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at the 2026 NASCAR Bank of America 400 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determi

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Average Yes Price

13¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/go-dHl" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="NASCAR Bank of America 400: Top 3 Finishers"></iframe>

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NASCAR Bank of America 400: Top 3 Finishers

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Cup Series: Kyle Larson to finish in the top 3

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Events (1)

NASCAR Bank of America 400: Top 3 Finishers

Markets (39)

Cup Series: Kyle Larson to finish in the top 3

Cup Series: Kyle Larson to finish in the top 3

Cup Series: Christopher Bell to finish in the top 3

Cup Series: Christopher Bell to finish in the top 3

Cup Series: Chase Briscoe to finish in the top 3

Cup Series: Chase Briscoe to finish in the top 3

Cup Series: Denny Hamlin to finish in the top 3

Cup Series: Denny Hamlin to finish in the top 3

Cup Series: Ryan Blaney to finish in the top 3

Cup Series: Ryan Blaney to finish in the top 3

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Cup Series: Kyle Larson to finish in the top 3

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NASCAR Bank of America 400: Top 3 Finishers

Cup Series: Kyle Larson to finish in the top 3

Cup Series: Kyle Larson to finish in the top 3

Cup Series: Christopher Bell to finish in the top 3

Cup Series: Christopher Bell to finish in the top 3

Cup Series: Chase Briscoe to finish in the top 3

Cup Series: Chase Briscoe to finish in the top 3

Cup Series: Denny Hamlin to finish in the top 3

Cup Series: Denny Hamlin to finish in the top 3

Cup Series: Ryan Blaney to finish in the top 3

Cup Series: Ryan Blaney to finish in the top 3

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