Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

Name: Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?
End: 2026-12-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$15.00K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

Vol

$15.00K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $15.00K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $15.00K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

21 markets tracked

Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(21)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Poly	48%
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Poly	35%
Will StepFun be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Poly	7%
Will Moonshot be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Poly	7%
Will Mistral be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Poly	7%
Will Meta be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Poly	6%
Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Poly	5%
Will Alibaba be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Poly	5%
Will Amazon be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Poly	4%
Will Z.ai be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Poly	4%
Will DeepSeek be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Poly	4%
Will SpaceXAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Poly	4%
Will Tencent be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Poly	4%
Will MiniMax be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Poly	3%
Will ByteDance be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Poly	3%
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Thinky be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Nvidia be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Baidu be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Meituan be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Microsoft be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

48%

Top Probability

$15.00K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 1, 2026 (51 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.

Note: Models marked “

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $15.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $5.0K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 3.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $4.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $4.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will SpaceXAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $270
  DATA: [Yes: 3.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.2% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Alibaba be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $236
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $522
  DATA: [Yes: 5.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.7% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Baidu be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $235
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Z.ai be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $212
  DATA: [Yes: 4.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.9% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Xiaomi be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $236
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Moonshot be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $536
  DATA: [Yes: 6.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.1% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Meta be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $223
  DATA: [Yes: 5.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.2% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Nvidia be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $216
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will DeepSeek be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $440
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will MiniMax be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $223
  DATA: [Yes: 3.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.8% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Meituan be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $178
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Amazon be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $564
  DATA: [Yes: 4.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.7% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will ByteDance be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $215
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Mistral be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $411
  DATA: [Yes: 6.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.3% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Tencent be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $221
  DATA: [Yes: 3.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.3% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will StepFun be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $260
  DATA: [Yes: 7.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.7% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Microsoft be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $242
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Thinky be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $239
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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