
$4.67K
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1 market tracked
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| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
Lorient at Monaco: Both Teams to Score | Kalshi | 61% |
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
FCL at ASM (Jan 16) If Lorient and Monaco both score goals in the Lorient at Monaco Ligue 1 match originally scheduled for Jan 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
Prediction markets currently price a 61% probability that both Lorient and Monaco will score in their Ligue 1 match. This price, translating to odds of roughly -156 for "Yes," indicates the market views the outcome as more likely than not, but with significant uncertainty. With only $5,000 in total volume, liquidity is thin, meaning this consensus is tentative and could be more sensitive to new information or trading activity.
The pricing reflects the attacking profiles and defensive vulnerabilities of both clubs. AS Monaco consistently ranks among Ligue 1's highest-scoring sides, averaging over 1.8 goals per game this season, making them heavy favorites to score at home. FC Lorient, while less potent, has shown an ability to find the net, particularly in open matches. Critically, both teams have demonstrated defensive frailties. Monaco's high-pressing style often leaves them exposed, while Lorient has one of the league's poorer defensive records. Historical matchups also support this market view, with both teams scoring in three of their last five meetings.
The primary catalyst for odds movement will be team news, particularly regarding key attackers or defensive injuries released closer to the match. A confirmed absence for a prolific scorer like Monaco's Wissam Ben Yedder or Lorient's Mohamed Bamba could drive the "No" price significantly higher. Conversely, news of defensive line injuries would boost the "Yes" probability. The thin market volume means even modest bets could shift the price meaningfully in the final 24-48 hours before kickoff. A tactical shift, such as either manager opting for a more conservative setup, would also challenge the current consensus.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
$4.67K
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This prediction market topic focuses on a specific outcome in a French Ligue 1 football match between FC Lorient and AS Monaco, originally scheduled for January 16, 2026. The market resolves to 'Yes' if both teams score at least one goal during the 90 minutes of regulation play plus any added stoppage time. It does not include goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts. The market features an early closure mechanism, meaning it will expire immediately if the 'Both Teams to Score' (BTTS) condition is met during the match, providing real-time resolution for traders. This type of market is popular in sports betting and prediction markets as it focuses on a binary outcome independent of the final match result, offering a clear metric of offensive performance and defensive vulnerability for both clubs. Interest stems from analyzing team form, attacking philosophies, and historical head-to-head data, which often show patterns conducive to both teams scoring, especially in matches involving Monaco, known for their attacking play, and Lorient, a team that can be resilient on the counter-attack. Traders will assess factors like current squad injuries, tactical setups from the managers, and recent defensive records to gauge the probability of this event.
The fixture between AS Monaco and FC Lorient has a history of producing matches where both teams find the net. In Ligue 1, head-to-head records are a primary analytical tool. For instance, in the 2023/24 season, both league matches between these sides ended with both teams scoring (a 2-2 draw in Monaco and a 2-1 win for Monaco in Lorient). This continued a recent trend, as three of their previous five encounters before 2024 also saw the BTTS outcome. Historically, Monaco, based in the Principality, has been an attack-minded club since its renaissance in the 2010s, often finishing seasons with some of the league's highest goal totals but also a less formidable defensive record. FC Lorient, while often battling in the lower half of the table, has developed a reputation for being a stubborn opponent capable of scoring against top teams, particularly under managers who emphasize transitional play. The broader context of Ligue 1 also supports this market's relevance. The French top flight has historically had a higher percentage of matches where both teams score compared to some other major European leagues, partly due to a competitive balance and attacking styles adopted by many clubs. This historical propensity makes BTTS markets particularly active for Ligue 1 fixtures.
Beyond the immediate betting or trading outcome, this market reflects broader trends in modern football analytics and fan engagement. The popularity of 'Both Teams to Score' markets signifies a shift in how audiences consume football, focusing on specific in-game events rather than just final scores. It drives deeper analysis of team tactics, defensive vulnerabilities, and individual player form. For the clubs and the league, high-scoring, entertaining matches are crucial for broadcasting rights valuations and global fan acquisition. Matches that frequently hit the BTTS marker are often marketed as more exciting and unpredictable, which benefits Ligue 1's commercial appeal. Economically, this prediction market is part of a growing global industry in sports derivatives and betting, which influences sponsorship, advertising, and data analytics sectors. Traders and analysts dissecting this market contribute to a vast ecosystem of football data, influencing everything from fantasy sports to professional scouting reports.
As of the latest information, the match is scheduled for January 16, 2026. Team form, tactical setups, and player availability in the weeks and months leading up to this date will be the primary drivers of market sentiment. In the immediate context of the 2025/26 season, traders will monitor the early-season performances of both teams. Key factors will include whether both clubs maintain their attacking philosophies under their current managers, the impact of any summer 2025 transfer window activity on squad depth, and the injury status of critical players like Ben Yedder and Dieng as the match date approaches. The market will become increasingly active as the fixture draws near, with odds fluctuating based on pre-match team news and predicted lineups.
'Both Teams to Score' (BTTS) is a common football betting market where the bet wins if each team scores at least one goal during the regulated 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The final match result is irrelevant. For this prediction market, a 'Yes' resolution requires this exact condition to be met.
Yes, own goals count. The condition is based on the total goals recorded for each team, regardless of how they are scored. If Lorient wins 1-0 with the only goal being a Monaco own goal, the market would resolve to 'No' because Monaco did not score a goal for themselves.
Prediction market rules typically state that if a match is postponed beyond a specified timeframe (often 24-48 hours) or abandoned and not completed, the market is voided and all stakes are returned. The specific rules for this market would be defined by the platform hosting it.
The market includes an 'early close' or 'automatic execution' condition. The moment the second team scores its first goal, fulfilling the 'Both Teams to Score' condition, the market will immediately close and resolve to 'Yes'. Trading ceases at that point, and contracts are settled.
Historical BTTS statistics for Ligue 1 and other leagues are available on major sports data websites like WhoScored.com, SoccerStats.com, and the official Ligue 1 website. These sites provide filterable data for team performance, including home/away BTTS percentages.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
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