GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Name: Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
End: 2026-10-01T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$62.04K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Vol

$62.04K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $62.04K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $62.04K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

27 markets tracked

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(27)

Market	Platform	Price
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?	Poly	69%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 30, 2026?	Poly	6%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 22, 2026?	Poly	4%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 23, 2026?	Poly	4%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 24, 2026?	Poly	3%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 7, 2026?	Poly	2%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 15, 2026?	Poly	2%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 17, 2026?	Poly	2%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 16, 2026?	Poly	2%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 29, 2026?	Poly	1%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 28, 2026?	Poly	1%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 19, 2026?	Poly	1%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 21, 2026?	Poly	1%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 26, 2026?	Poly	1%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 27, 2026?	Poly	1%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 5, 2026?	Poly	1%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 11, 2026?	Poly	1%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 12, 2026?	Poly	1%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 20, 2026?	Poly	1%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 25, 2026?	Poly	1%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 9, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 6, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 10, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 13, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 14, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 8, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 18, 2026?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

69%

Top Probability

$62.04K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 1, 2026 (26 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini mo"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $59.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $40.1K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.48)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 5, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 6, 2026): Vol $302
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 6, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 7, 2026): Vol $307
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 7, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 8, 2026): Vol $406
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 8, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 9, 2026): Vol $294
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 9, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 10, 2026): Vol $302
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 10, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 11, 2026): Vol $302
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 11, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 12, 2026): Vol $298
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 12, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 13, 2026): Vol $302
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 13, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 14, 2026): Vol $302
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 14, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 15, 2026): Vol $307
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 15, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 16, 2026): Vol $542
  DATA: [Yes: 1.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.1% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 16, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 17, 2026): Vol $538
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.3% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 17, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 18, 2026): Vol $542
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.2% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 18, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 19, 2026): Vol $305
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 19, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 20, 2026): Vol $302
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 20, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 21, 2026): Vol $302
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 21, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 22, 2026): Vol $302
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 22, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 23, 2026): Vol $579
  DATA: [Yes: 4.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.7% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 23, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 24, 2026): Vol $449
  DATA: [Yes: 3.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.2% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 24, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 25, 2026): Vol $589
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 25, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 26, 2026): Vol $298
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 26, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 27, 2026): Vol $300
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 27, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 28, 2026): Vol $302
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 28, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 29, 2026): Vol $480
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 29, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $370
  DATA: [Yes: 1.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 30, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 1, 2026): Vol $682
  DATA: [Yes: 5.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.3% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 1, 2026): Vol $49.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 68.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 31.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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