Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on January 29? | PredictPedia

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Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on January 29?

Name: Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on January 29?
End: 2026-01-29T21:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$9.46K

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Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on January 29?

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Polymarket

markets · $9.46K

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markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

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Volume DistributionTotal: $9.46K

100%

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Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on January 29?

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Market	Platform	Price
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on January 29?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

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Top Probability

$9.46K

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About This Event

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official NASDAQ closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on Thursday, January 29, 2026 is higher than the official NASDAQ closing price for MSFT on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official NASDAQ closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on Thursday, January 29, 2026 is lower than the official NASDAQ closing price for MSFT on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday wo

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on January 29?
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 29, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Up" if the official NASDAQ closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on Thursday, January 29, 2026 is higher than the official NASDAQ closing price for MSFT on the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the official NASDAQ closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on Thursday, January 29, 2026 is lower than the official NASDAQ closing price for MSFT on the most recent prior trading day.

E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday wo

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Up" if the official NASDAQ closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on Thursday, January 29, 2026 is higher than the official NASDAQ closing price for MSFT on the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the official NASDAQ closing pric"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $9.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $56.8K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.17)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on January 29?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $9.5K
  DATA: [Up: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [Down: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on January 29?

Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on January 29?

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Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on January 29?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)