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Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Name: LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
End: 2026-05-03T15:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$259.52

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Vol

$259.52

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $259.52

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $259.52

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

23 markets tracked

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(23)

Market	Platform	Price
Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	77%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	77%
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	68%
Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	51%
Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)	Poly	50%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	49%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	45%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	42%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	41%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	37%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	Poly	22%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	22%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner	Poly	21%
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	21%
Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	20%
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	20%
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	2%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner	Poly	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

77%

Top Probability

$259.52

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the LoL match between ThunderTalk Gaming and LNG Esports in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for May 3 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win the match against LNG Esports. This market will resolve to "LNG Esports" if LNG Esports win the match against ThunderTalk Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, t

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 3, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the LoL match between ThunderTalk Gaming and LNG Esports in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for May 3 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win the match against LNG Esports.

This market will resolve to "LNG Esports" if LNG Esports win the match against ThunderTalk Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, t

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the LoL match between ThunderTalk Gaming and LNG Esports in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for May 3 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Over" if ThunderTalk Gaming and LNG Esports play 3 or more games in this series.

If fewer than 3 games are played, this "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $260
* **Total Liquidity:** $31.7K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $176
  DATA: [ThunderTalk Gaming: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [LNG Esports: 63.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [ThunderTalk Gaming: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [LNG Esports: 58.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [ThunderTalk Gaming: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [LNG Esports: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [LNG Esports: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [ThunderTalk Gaming: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 76.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $39
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 8. LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $45
  DATA: [Yes: 2.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 10. Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 67.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 32.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 76.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Volume$259.52

Markets23

23 of 23

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 76.5¢No 23.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 2. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. O

POLYMARKET

Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 76.5¢No 23.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 2. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market wi

POLYMARKET

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 67.5¢No 32.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 2. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 2. This market

POLYMARKET

Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?

This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Game 2 is an odd number. This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Game 2 is an even number. "Total combined kills" includes all champion kills recorded during the match by both Thu

POLYMARKET

Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)

This market refers to the LoL match between ThunderTalk Gaming and LNG Esports in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for May 3 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "LNG Esports" if LNG Esports wins 2 or more games than ThunderTalk Gaming in this match. Otherwise, this market will reso

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40¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/h40nTk" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana"></iframe>

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LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

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Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Markets (23)

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?

Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?

Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)

Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)

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Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?

Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?

Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)

Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)

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