Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card)

Name: UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card)
End: 2026-10-18T03:59:59.999Z

Total Volume

$2.94K

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UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card)

Vol

$2.94K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $2.94K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.94K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

27 markets tracked

Will Joaquin Buckley win by KO or TKO?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(27)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Joaquin Buckley win by KO or TKO?	Poly	56%
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Poly	56%
UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card)	Poly	54%
Will Mike Malott win by KO or TKO?	Poly	50%
Will the fight be won by submission?	Poly	50%
Over/Under 0.5 Rounds	Poly	50%
Over/Under 1.5 Rounds	Poly	50%
Over/Under 2.5 Rounds	Poly	50%
Over/Under 3.5 Rounds	Poly	50%
Over/Under 4.5 Rounds	Poly	50%
Fight to Go the Distance?	Poly	49%
Will the fight be won by decision?	Poly	49%
Will the fight end before Round 2?	Poly	49%
Will the fight end before Round 3?	Poly	49%
Will the fight end before Round 4?	Poly	49%
Will the fight end before Round 5?	Poly	49%
Will Mike Malott win in Round 1?	Poly	49%
Will Mike Malott win in Round 2?	Poly	49%
Will Mike Malott win in Round 3?	Poly	49%
Will Mike Malott win in Round 4?	Poly	49%
Will Mike Malott win in Round 5?	Poly	49%
Will Joaquin Buckley win in Round 1?	Poly	49%
Will Joaquin Buckley win in Round 2?	Poly	49%
Will Joaquin Buckley win in Round 3?	Poly	49%
Will Joaquin Buckley win in Round 4?	Poly	49%
Will Joaquin Buckley win in Round 5?	Poly	49%
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?	Poly	49%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

56%

Top Probability

$2.94K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Mike Malott" if Mike Malott is officially declared the winner of the fight against Joaquin Buckley at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026. It will resolve to "Joaquin Buckley" if Joaquin Buckley is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 31, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market wil

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 18, 2026 (7 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Mike Malott" if Mike Malott is officially declared the winner of the fight against Joaquin Buckley at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026.

It will resolve to "Joaquin Buckley" if Joaquin Buckley is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 31, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market wil

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Mike Malott" if Mike Malott is officially declared the winner of the fight against Joaquin Buckley at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026.

It will resolve to "Joaquin Buckley" if Joaquin Buckley is officially declared the winner.

If the "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $11.8K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.25)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $2.9K
  DATA: [Mike Malott: 54.0% (0.0%)] | [Joaquin Buckley: 46.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Fight to Go the Distance?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 55.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Mike Malott win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Joaquin Buckley win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 56.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the fight be won by submission?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Over/Under 0.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Over/Under 1.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Over/Under 2.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Over/Under 3.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Over/Under 4.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will the fight be won by decision?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will the fight end before Round 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will the fight end before Round 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will the fight end before Round 4?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will the fight end before Round 5?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Mike Malott win in Round 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Mike Malott win in Round 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Mike Malott win in Round 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Mike Malott win in Round 4?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Mike Malott win in Round 5?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Joaquin Buckley win in Round 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Joaquin Buckley win in Round 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Joaquin Buckley win in Round 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Joaquin Buckley win in Round 4?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Joaquin Buckley win in Round 5?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will the fight end in a decision or draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card)

Volume$2.94K

Markets27

27 of 27

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Will Joaquin Buckley win by KO or TKO?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 56.0¢No 44.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Will Joaquin Buckley win by KO or TKO?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joaquin Buckley defeats Mike Malott at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqu

POLYMARKET

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 55.5¢No 44.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Mike Malott and Joaquin Buckley at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in

POLYMARKET

Will Mike Malott win by KO or TKO?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Will Mike Malott win by KO or TKO?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Malott defeats Joaquin Buckley at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqu

POLYMARKET

Will the fight be won by submission?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Will the fight be won by submission?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Mike Malott and Joaquin Buckley at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it w

POLYMARKET

Fight to Go the Distance?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 49.0¢No 51.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Fight to Go the Distance?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Mike Malott and Joaquin Buckley at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws d

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Oct 18, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC

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50¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/h7_U7n" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card)"></iframe>

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UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card)

UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card)

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Joaquin Buckley win by KO or TKO?

AI Analysis

About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card)

Markets (27)

Will Joaquin Buckley win by KO or TKO?

Will Joaquin Buckley win by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will Mike Malott win by KO or TKO?

Will Mike Malott win by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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Will Joaquin Buckley win by KO or TKO?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card)

Will Joaquin Buckley win by KO or TKO?

Will Joaquin Buckley win by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will Mike Malott win by KO or TKO?

Will Mike Malott win by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

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