Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This event asks whether Ink's fully diluted valuation (FDV) will be above a stated threshold one day after launch. The resolution text says the market "will resolve to 'Yes' if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ink's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch" [1]. The rules also say the token "must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch" [1].

The timing rules have two parts. "1 day after launch" is defined as "4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch" [1]. Separately, if Ink "doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'No'" [1]. The listed end time is 2027-01-01T05:00:00.000Z, which the rule text does not restate. A reader should treat the written ET deadlines as the governing wording and check the listed end time against them.

The resolution source is described as "the most liquid price source available" [1], so the contract's outcome depends on that source, not on any single quote.

Reading the snapshot

The saved data was observed at 2026-10-16T00:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-10-16T00:58:55Z [1]. These are snapshots of quoted prices. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities.

The event includes six thresholds, all on Polymarket and all listed as active. Yes prices in the sample are $100M at 0.215, $250M at 0.195, $500M at 0.195, $1B at 0.07, $2B at 0.0455, and $3B at 0.033 [1]. Each threshold is a separate contract with its own price. Prices decline as the threshold rises, but this only describes the saved quotes. It does not show why they differ.

Volume is not included in the reading. The sample also does not show liquidity or the number of traders, so these prices should not be read as a measure of market depth or consensus.

What remains uncertain

The coverage data reports 6 of 6 markets included and no partial sample [1]. The saved set still does not establish that every possible real-world FDV outcome is listed, and no outcome outside these thresholds can be assessed from this snapshot.

The evidence does not explain any price movement, does not report recent news about Ink, and does not indicate whether a launch is planned or scheduled. Prices from different contracts should not be averaged or compared as an arbitrage opportunity, since each threshold resolves on different terms within the same event.

References

1. Polymarket: Ink FDV above ___ one day after launch?. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z.