Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

Who will Barack Obama rally with?

Total Volume

$17.04K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Who will Barack Obama rally with?

Vol

$17.04K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $17.04K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $17.04K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will any of the Source Agencies report that Troy Jackson attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will any of the Source Agencies report that Troy Jackson attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?	Kalshi	85%
Will any of the Source Agencies report that Jon Ossoff attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?	Kalshi	66%
Will any of the Source Agencies report that James Talarico attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?	Kalshi	61%
Will any of the Source Agencies report that Josh Turek attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?	Kalshi	44%
Will any of the Source Agencies report that Sherrod Brown attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?	Kalshi	42%
Will any of the Source Agencies report that Adam Hamilton attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?	Kalshi	5%
Will any of the Source Agencies report that Mary Peltola attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

85%

Top Probability

$17.04K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Before Nov 3, 2026 If X attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Both Barack Obama and the named candidate must be physically present at the same rally; virtual or recorded appearances, such as video messages or ads, do not qualify. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will Barack Obama rally with?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Nov 3, 2026

If X attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Both Barack Obama and the named candidate must be physically present at the same rally; virtual or recorded appearances, such as video messages or ads, do not qualify. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Troy Jackson attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Both Barack Obama and the named candidate must be physically present at the same rally; virtual or recorded appearances, such as video messages or ads"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $17.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will any of the Source Agencies report that Troy Jackson attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2026): Vol $275
  DATA: [Yes: 84.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 15.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will any of the Source Agencies report that Sherrod Brown attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2026): Vol $174
  DATA: [Yes: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will any of the Source Agencies report that Mary Peltola attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2026): Vol $3.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will any of the Source Agencies report that Josh Turek attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2026): Vol $164
  DATA: [Yes: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will any of the Source Agencies report that James Talarico attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2026): Vol $4.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 61.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 39.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will any of the Source Agencies report that Jon Ossoff attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2026): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 66.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will any of the Source Agencies report that Adam Hamilton attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2026): Vol $4.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

Who will Barack Obama rally with?

Volume$17.04K

Markets7

7 of 7

Sort:

KALSHI

Will any of the Source Agencies report that Troy Jackson attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 84.5¢No 15.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will any of the Source Agencies report that Troy Jackson attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?

If Troy Jackson attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Both Barack Obama and the named candidate must be physically present at the same rally; virtual or recorded appearances, such as video messages or ads

KALSHI

Will any of the Source Agencies report that Jon Ossoff attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 66.0¢No 34.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will any of the Source Agencies report that Jon Ossoff attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?

If Jon Ossoff attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Both Barack Obama and the named candidate must be physically present at the same rally; virtual or recorded appearances, such as video messages or ads,

KALSHI

Will any of the Source Agencies report that James Talarico attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 61.0¢No 39.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will any of the Source Agencies report that James Talarico attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?

If James Talarico attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Both Barack Obama and the named candidate must be physically present at the same rally; virtual or recorded appearances, such as video messages or a

KALSHI

Will any of the Source Agencies report that Josh Turek attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 44.5¢No 55.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will any of the Source Agencies report that Josh Turek attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?

If Josh Turek attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Both Barack Obama and the named candidate must be physically present at the same rally; virtual or recorded appearances, such as video messages or ads,

KALSHI

Will any of the Source Agencies report that Sherrod Brown attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 41.5¢No 58.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will any of the Source Agencies report that Sherrod Brown attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?

If Sherrod Brown attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Both Barack Obama and the named candidate must be physically present at the same rally; virtual or recorded appearances, such as video messages or ad

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

44¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/hF4y-D" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Who will Barack Obama rally with?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Who will Barack Obama rally with?

Who will Barack Obama rally with?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will any of the Source Agencies report that Troy Jackson attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Who will Barack Obama rally with?

Markets (7)

Will any of the Source Agencies report that Troy Jackson attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?

Will any of the Source Agencies report that Troy Jackson attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?

Will any of the Source Agencies report that Jon Ossoff attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?

Will any of the Source Agencies report that Jon Ossoff attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?

Will any of the Source Agencies report that James Talarico attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?

Will any of the Source Agencies report that James Talarico attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?

Will any of the Source Agencies report that Josh Turek attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?

Will any of the Source Agencies report that Josh Turek attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?

Will any of the Source Agencies report that Sherrod Brown attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?

Will any of the Source Agencies report that Sherrod Brown attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will any of the Source Agencies report that Troy Jackson attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Who will Barack Obama rally with?

Will any of the Source Agencies report that Troy Jackson attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?

Will any of the Source Agencies report that Troy Jackson attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?

Will any of the Source Agencies report that Jon Ossoff attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?

Will any of the Source Agencies report that Jon Ossoff attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?

Will any of the Source Agencies report that James Talarico attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?

Will any of the Source Agencies report that James Talarico attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?

Will any of the Source Agencies report that Josh Turek attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?

Will any of the Source Agencies report that Josh Turek attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?

Will any of the Source Agencies report that Sherrod Brown attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?

Will any of the Source Agencies report that Sherrod Brown attends an in-person rally with Barack Obama?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget