Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac | PredictPedia

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Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac

Name: Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac
End: 2026-04-23T08:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$278.26K

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Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac

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Polymarket

markets · $278.26K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $278.26K

100%

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1 market tracked

Alcaraz vs. Machac: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Alcaraz vs. Machac: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	50%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$278.26K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Tomas Machac in the Barcelona Open, originally scheduled for April 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Tomas Machac. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Carlos Alcaraz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market w

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, April 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 23, 2026 (8 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Tomas Machac in the Barcelona Open, originally scheduled for April 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Tomas Machac.

This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Carlos Alcaraz.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market w

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Tomas Machac in the Barcelona Open, originally scheduled for April 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to ""

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $55.7K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Alcaraz vs. Machac: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

7d 2h remaining

Apr 23, 2026 8:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

50¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/hFaU8o" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac"></iframe>

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Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac

Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac

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Alcaraz vs. Machac: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)