Name: CR Vasco da Gama vs. São Paulo FC
End: 2026-04-18T21:30:00.000Z

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CR Vasco da Gama vs. São Paulo FC | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-18?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-18?	Poly	42%
Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?	Poly	31%
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-18?	Poly	29%

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, April 17, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** CR Vasco da Gama vs. São Paulo FC
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 18, 2026 (2 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Saturday, April 18, 2026 between CR Vasco da Gama and São Paulo FC.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 18, 2026
If CR Vasco da Gama wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up gam"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $407
* **Total Liquidity:** $414.0K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-18?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $105
  DATA: [Yes: 42.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $8
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-18?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $294
  DATA: [Yes: 29.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

1d 17h remaining

Apr 18, 2026 9:30 PM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

34¢

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CR Vasco da Gama vs. São Paulo FC

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Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-18?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

CR Vasco da Gama vs. São Paulo FC

Markets (3)

Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-18?

Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-18?

Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?

Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?

Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-18?

Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-18?

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Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-18?

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CR Vasco da Gama vs. São Paulo FC

Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-18?

Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-18?

Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?

Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?

Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-18?

Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-18?

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