Yoon out of custody by March 31? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETWorld

Yoon out of custody by March 31?

Name: Yoon out of custody by March 31?
End: 2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$66.68K

Events

Markets

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Yoon out of custody by March 31?

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Polymarket

markets · $66.68K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $66.68K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Yoon out of custody by March 31?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Yoon out of custody by March 31?	Poly	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$66.68K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hos

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, January 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Yoon out of custody by March 31?
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 31, 2026 (75 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".

If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".

Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hos

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".

If Yoon is released on parol"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $66.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $6.2K
* **Activity Level:** High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 10.83)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Yoon out of custody by March 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $66.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

74d 15h remaining

Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

3¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

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Yoon out of custody by March 31?

Yoon out of custody by March 31?

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Yoon out of custody by March 31?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)