GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Spain vs Belgium: Goalscorer

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Spain vs Belgium: Goalscorer

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Polymarket

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Kalshi

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max 0.0%

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24 markets tracked

Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals

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Single-Platform Markets(24)

Market	Platform	Price
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals	Kalshi	41%
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals	Kalshi	34%
Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goals	Kalshi	22%
Dani Olmo: 1+ goals	Kalshi	21%
Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goals	Kalshi	17%
Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goals	Kalshi	14%
Leandro Trossard: 1+ goals	Kalshi	13%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goals	Kalshi	11%
Jeremy Doku: 1+ goals	Kalshi	10%
Pedri: 1+ goals	Kalshi	9%
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals	Kalshi	8%
Rodri: 1+ goals	Kalshi	8%
Youri Tielemans: 1+ goals	Kalshi	7%
Marc Cucurella: 1+ goals	Kalshi	6%
Romelu Lukaku: 2+ goals	Kalshi	4%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ goals	Kalshi	2%
Dani Olmo: 2+ goals	Kalshi	2%
Lamine Yamal: 3+ goals	Kalshi	2%
Leandro Trossard: 2+ goals	Kalshi	2%
Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ goals	Kalshi	2%
Jeremy Doku: 2+ goals	Kalshi	2%
Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ goals	Kalshi	2%
Rodri: 2+ goals	Kalshi	1%
Youri Tielemans: 2+ goals	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

41%

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$0.00

Volume

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About This Event

ESP vs BEL (Jul 10) If Rodri records at least X Y during the entire game, regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods, of the Spain vs Belgium professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to a player in the entire game, regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods, of the Spain vs Belgium professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026. If a player is active but ne

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Spain vs Belgium: Goalscorer
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** ESP vs BEL (Jul 10)

If Rodri records at least X Y during the entire game, regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods, of the Spain vs Belgium professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to a player in the entire game, regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods, of the Spain vs Belgium professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026. If a player is active but ne

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Rodri records at least 2 goals during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Spain vs Belgium professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Rodri: 2+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Rodri: 1+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Pedri: 1+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Marc Cucurella: 1+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Lamine Yamal: 3+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Dani Olmo: 2+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Dani Olmo: 1+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Youri Tielemans: 2+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Youri Tielemans: 1+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Romelu Lukaku: 2+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Leandro Trossard: 2+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Leandro Trossard: 1+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Jeremy Doku: 2+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Jeremy Doku: 1+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Spain vs Belgium: Goalscorer

Volume$0.00

Markets24

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KALSHI

Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 40.5¢No 59.5¢

KALSHIOther

Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals

If Mikel Oyarzabal records at least 1 goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Spain vs Belgium professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to

KALSHI

Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 33.5¢No 66.5¢

KALSHIOther

Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals

If Lamine Yamal records at least 1 goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Spain vs Belgium professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a p

KALSHI

Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goals

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 22.0¢No 78.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goals

If Romelu Lukaku records at least 1 goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Spain vs Belgium professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a

KALSHI

Dani Olmo: 1+ goals

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 20.5¢No 79.5¢

KALSHIOther

Dani Olmo: 1+ goals

If Dani Olmo records at least 1 goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Spain vs Belgium professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a play

KALSHI

Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goals

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 17.0¢No 83.0¢

KALSHIOther

Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goals

If Charles De Ketelaere records at least 1 goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Spain vs Belgium professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refer

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Spain vs Belgium: Goalscorer

Spain vs Belgium: Goalscorer

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Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals

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Events (1)

Spain vs Belgium: Goalscorer

Markets (24)

Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals

Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals

Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals

Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals

Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goals

Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goals

Dani Olmo: 1+ goals

Dani Olmo: 1+ goals

Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goals

Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goals

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Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals

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Spain vs Belgium: Goalscorer

Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals

Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals

Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals

Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals

Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goals

Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goals

Dani Olmo: 1+ goals

Dani Olmo: 1+ goals

Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goals

Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goals

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