Market snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

Golden Globe Winner: Best Director

Reported volume

K 5.5K contracts

Events

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Trade on Kalshi

Golden Globe Winner: Best Director

Vol

K 5.5K contracts

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

As of Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Christopher Nolan at 43.5%.

Kalshi

Christopher Nolan43.5%
Javier Ambrossi and Javier Calvo22.5%
Denis Villeneuve11.5%
Olivia Wilde5.5%
Martin McDonagh5.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

11 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Christopher Nolan win a Golden Globe Award for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Christopher Nolan win a Golden Globe Award for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	43.5%
Will Javier Ambrossi and Javier Calvo win a Golden Globe Award for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	22.5%
Will Denis Villeneuve win a Golden Globe Award for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	11.5%
Will Olivia Wilde win a Golden Globe Award for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	5.5%
Will Martin McDonagh win a Golden Globe Award for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	5.5%
Will Cristian Mungiu win a Golden Globe Award for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	2.5%
Will Tie win a Golden Globe Award for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	1.5%
Will Tony Gilroy win a Golden Globe Award for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	1.5%
Will Ryusuke Hamaguchi win a Golden Globe Award for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	1.5%
Will Paweł Pawlikowski win a Golden Globe Award for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	1.5%
Will Alejandro G. Iñárritu win a Golden Globe Award for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	1.5%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 5.5K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

Best Director | 2027 If X wins a Golden Globe for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Golden Globes. Any references to the “Golden Globes,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Golden Globes and Kalshi. The 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be held on January 10, 2027. This market will close and expire following the awards ceremony, or following the nomination announcement if X is not nominated.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Golden Globe Winner: Best Director
Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 5.5K contracts
Coverage: 11 of 11 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Tie win a Golden Globe Award for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGGWINNER-DIR27-TIE; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxggwinner-dir27
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 10, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 300 contracts
Outcome Yes: 1.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Tie wins a Golden Globe for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Golden Globes. Any references to the “Golden Globes,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Golden Globes and Kalshi. The 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be held on January 10, 2027. Early close condition: This market will close and expire following the awards ceremony, or following the nomination announcement if Tie is not nominated.

Contract: Will Tony Gilroy win a Golden Globe Award for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGGWINNER-DIR27-TGIL; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxggwinner-dir27
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 10, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 619 contracts
Outcome Yes: 1.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Tony Gilroy wins a Golden Globe for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Golden Globes. Any references to the “Golden Globes,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Golden Globes and Kalshi. The 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be held on January 10, 2027. Early close condition: This market will close and expire following the awards ceremony, or following the nomination announcement if Tony Gilroy is not nominated.

Contract: Will Ryusuke Hamaguchi win a Golden Globe Award for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGGWINNER-DIR27-RHAM; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxggwinner-dir27
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 10, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 176.53 contracts
Outcome Yes: 1.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Ryusuke Hamaguchi wins a Golden Globe for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Golden Globes. Any references to the “Golden Globes,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Golden Globes and Kalshi. The 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be held on January 10, 2027. Early close condition: This market will close and expire following the awards ceremony, or following the nomination announcement if Ryusuke Hamaguchi is not nominated.

Contract: Will Paweł Pawlikowski win a Golden Globe Award for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGGWINNER-DIR27-PPAW; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxggwinner-dir27
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 10, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 1.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Paweł Pawlikowski wins a Golden Globe for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Golden Globes. Any references to the “Golden Globes,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Golden Globes and Kalshi. The 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be held on January 10, 2027. Early close condition: This market will close and expire following the awards ceremony, or following the nomination announcement if Paweł Pawlikowski is not nominated.

Contract: Will Olivia Wilde win a Golden Globe Award for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGGWINNER-DIR27-OWIL; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxggwinner-dir27
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 10, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 585.71 contracts
Outcome Yes: 5.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Olivia Wilde wins a Golden Globe for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Golden Globes. Any references to the “Golden Globes,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Golden Globes and Kalshi. The 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be held on January 10, 2027. Early close condition: This market will close and expire following the awards ceremony, or following the nomination announcement if Olivia Wilde is not nominated.

Contract: Will Martin McDonagh win a Golden Globe Award for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGGWINNER-DIR27-MMCD; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxggwinner-dir27
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 10, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 5.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Martin McDonagh wins a Golden Globe for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Golden Globes. Any references to the “Golden Globes,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Golden Globes and Kalshi. The 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be held on January 10, 2027. Early close condition: This market will close and expire following the awards ceremony, or following the nomination announcement if Martin McDonagh is not nominated.

Contract: Will Javier Ambrossi and Javier Calvo win a Golden Globe Award for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGGWINNER-DIR27-JAMB; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxggwinner-dir27
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 10, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 16.47 contracts
Outcome Yes: 22.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 77.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Javier Ambrossi and Javier Calvo wins a Golden Globe for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Golden Globes. Any references to the “Golden Globes,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Golden Globes and Kalshi. The 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be held on January 10, 2027. Early close condition: This market will close and expire following the awards ceremony, or following the nomination announcement if Javier Ambrossi and Javier Calvo is not nominated.

Contract: Will Denis Villeneuve win a Golden Globe Award for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGGWINNER-DIR27-DVIL; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxggwinner-dir27
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 10, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 11.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 88.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Denis Villeneuve wins a Golden Globe for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Golden Globes. Any references to the “Golden Globes,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Golden Globes and Kalshi. The 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be held on January 10, 2027. Early close condition: This market will close and expire following the awards ceremony, or following the nomination announcement if Denis Villeneuve is not nominated.

Contract: Will Christopher Nolan win a Golden Globe Award for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGGWINNER-DIR27-CNOL; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxggwinner-dir27
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 10, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 3.8K contracts
Outcome Yes: 43.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 56.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Christopher Nolan wins a Golden Globe for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Golden Globes. Any references to the “Golden Globes,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Golden Globes and Kalshi. The 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be held on January 10, 2027. Early close condition: This market will close and expire following the awards ceremony, or following the nomination announcement if Christopher Nolan is not nominated.

Contract: Will Cristian Mungiu win a Golden Globe Award for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGGWINNER-DIR27-CMUN; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxggwinner-dir27
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 10, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Cristian Mungiu wins a Golden Globe for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Golden Globes. Any references to the “Golden Globes,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Golden Globes and Kalshi. The 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be held on January 10, 2027. Early close condition: This market will close and expire following the awards ceremony, or following the nomination announcement if Cristian Mungiu is not nominated.

Contract: Will Alejandro G. Iñárritu win a Golden Globe Award for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGGWINNER-DIR27-AINA; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxggwinner-dir27
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 10, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 1.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Alejandro G. Iñárritu wins a Golden Globe for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Golden Globes. Any references to the “Golden Globes,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Golden Globes and Kalshi. The 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be held on January 10, 2027. Early close condition: This market will close and expire following the awards ceremony, or following the nomination announcement if Alejandro G. Iñárritu is not nominated.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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KALSHIEntertainment

Golden Globe Winner: Best Director

Volume$5.50K

Markets11

11 of 11

Sort:

Will Christopher Nolan win a Golden Globe Award for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

kalshi

Will Christopher Nolan win a Golden Globe Award for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Yes: 43.5¢
No: 56.5¢

Will Javier Ambrossi and Javier Calvo win a Golden Globe Award for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

kalshi

Will Javier Ambrossi and Javier Calvo win a Golden Globe Award for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Yes: 22.5¢
No: 77.5¢

Will Denis Villeneuve win a Golden Globe Award for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

kalshi

Will Denis Villeneuve win a Golden Globe Award for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Yes: 11.5¢
No: 88.5¢

Will Olivia Wilde win a Golden Globe Award for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

kalshi

Will Olivia Wilde win a Golden Globe Award for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Yes: 5.5¢
No: 94.5¢

Will Martin McDonagh win a Golden Globe Award for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

kalshi

Will Martin McDonagh win a Golden Globe Award for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Yes: 5.5¢
No: 94.5¢

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner

PM $56.3K · K 155.5K contracts

Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?

Kalshi: Will Christopher Nolan be on the list of nominees for Best Director at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Related contracts

PM Yes 61%Rules differK Yes 91.5%

Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?

Kalshi: Will Christopher Nolan be on the list of nominees for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Related contracts

PM Yes 61%Rules differK Yes 90.5%

Will Olivia Wilde win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?

Kalshi: Will Olivia Wilde be on the list of nominees for Best Director at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.5%Rules differK Yes 82%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

27 saved comparisonsNext deadline Mar 14, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner

PM $515.2K · K 176.4K contracts

Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Kalshi: Will John Malkovich be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Related contracts

PM Yes 42.9%Rules differK Yes 95.5%

Will John Malkovich be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Kalshi: Will John Malkovich be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Related contracts

PM Yes 88%Rules differK Yes 95.5%

Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Kalshi: Will Paul Giamatti be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Related contracts

PM Yes 31.5%Rules differK Yes 93%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

103 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 21, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner

PM $211.1K · K 90.2K contracts

Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?

Kalshi: Will Julianne Moore be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Related contracts

PM Yes 76.5%Rules differK Yes 92.5%

Will Olivia Wilde win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?

Kalshi: Will Olivia Wilde be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.4%Rules differK Yes 91.5%

Will Anne Hathaway win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?

Kalshi: Will Anne Hathaway be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.1%Rules differK Yes 89.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

59 saved comparisonsNext deadline Mar 14, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Oscar Winner: Best Picture

PM $938.1K · K 10.96M contracts

Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Kalshi: Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Picture at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Related contracts

PM Yes 50%Rules differK Yes 98.5%

Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Kalshi: Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Picture at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Related contracts

PM Yes 97.1%Rules differK Yes 98.5%

Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Kalshi: Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Related contracts

PM Yes 97.1%Rules differK Yes 42.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

209 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 21, 2027 UTC

KalshiSports

Golden Globe Winner: Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy

K 35.1K contracts

Will Wild Horse Nine win a Golden Globe Award for Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 34.5%

Will The Debut win a Golden Globe Award for Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 18%

Will The Invite win a Golden Globe Award for Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 17.5%

+12 moreNext deadline Jan 10, 2028 UTC

KalshiSports

Golden Globe Winner: Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama

K 22.4K contracts

Will Andrew Scott win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 36%

Will Matt Damon win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 28%

Will Robert Pattinson win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 7.5%

+12 moreNext deadline Jan 10, 2028 UTC

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Jan 10, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC

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