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Event GroupPOLYMARKETEconomy

Bank of Israel Decision in May?

Name: Bank of Israel Decision in May?
End: 2026-05-25T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$24.71K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Bank of Israel Decision in May?

Vol

$24.71K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $24.71K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Price gaps

of 0 cross-platform

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $24.71K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	Poly	62%
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	Poly	34%
Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

62%

Top Probability

$24.71K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-date

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Wednesday, October 14, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Bank of Israel Decision in May?
**Category:** Economy | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 25, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-date

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its M"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $24.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.0K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 8.12)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 25, 2026): Vol $4.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 25, 2026): Vol $14.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 25, 2026): Vol $6.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 62.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETEconomy