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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Who will Trump publicly insult by November 30?

Who will Trump publicly insult by November 30?
Vol

PM $17.2K

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Events

1

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Markets

14

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Barack Obama at 95.3%.

Polymarket

  1. Barack Obama95.3%
  2. Kaitlan Collins90%
  3. Letitia James62%
  4. Ilhan Omar60.4%
  5. Hillary Clinton45%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $17.2K

Reported volume · provider units

14

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify. A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify. A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare"). A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketCulture
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

PM $21.5K
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on November 28, 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on November 13, 2026?Yes 96%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on November 24, 2026?Yes 91.5%
+20 moreNext deadline Nov 9, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?

Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?

PM $44.9K · K 664.2K contracts

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 14%Rules differK Yes 15.5%

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by November 30, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh before Dec 1, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.5%Rules differK Yes 3%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Who will Trump publicly praise by November 30?

Who will Trump publicly praise by November 30?

PM $13.6K
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Xi Jinping by November 30, 2026?Yes 96.6%
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Elon Musk by November 30, 2026?Yes 89.7%
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Benjamin Netanyahu by November 30, 2026?Yes 73%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

PM $104.1K
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?Yes 78.8%
Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30?Yes 60.5%
Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 15?Yes 8.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture
"You Can See Everything" total domestic gross by November 30?

"You Can See Everything" total domestic gross by November 30?

PM $72.7K
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $100M and $125M by November 30?Yes 87.9%
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30?Yes 32.3%
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $125M and $150M by November 30?Yes 0.7%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Will Trump praise Allah again by November 30?

Will Trump praise Allah again by November 30?

PM $69.16
Will Trump praise Allah again by November 30?Yes 55%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

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