Name: Top 14: Toulouse vs Pau
End: 2026-01-31T20:00:00.000Z

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Top 14: Toulouse vs Pau | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will Toulouse win?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Toulouse win?	Poly	49%
Will Pau win?	Poly	31%
Will the match end in a draw?	Poly	29%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Top 14: Toulouse vs Pau
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 31, 2026 (16 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming Top 14 match between Toulouse and Pau, scheduled for January 24 2026.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for January 24 2026
If Toulouse wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $162
* **Total Liquidity:** $158
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.03)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Toulouse win?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $64
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Pau win?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $57
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the match end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $42
  DATA: [Yes: 29.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.7% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

15d 8h remaining

Jan 31, 2026 8:00 PM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

36¢

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Top 14: Toulouse vs Pau

Top 14: Toulouse vs Pau

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Will Toulouse win?

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Events (1)

Top 14: Toulouse vs Pau

Markets (3)

Will Toulouse win?

Will Toulouse win?

Will Pau win?

Will Pau win?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will the match end in a draw?

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Will Toulouse win?

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Top 14: Toulouse vs Pau

Will Toulouse win?

Will Toulouse win?

Will Pau win?

Will Pau win?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will the match end in a draw?

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