Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

2028 U.S. Vice-Presidential Election winner

Total Volume

$24.57K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

2028 U.S. Vice-Presidential Election winner

Vol

$24.57K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $24.57K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $24.57K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

27 markets tracked

Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(27)

Market	Platform	Price
Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez)	Kalshi	11%
Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Marco Rubio)	Kalshi	10%
Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Josh Shapiro)	Kalshi	6%
Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Jon Ossoff)	Kalshi	6%
Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (James Talarico)	Kalshi	4%
Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Gretchen Whitmer)	Kalshi	4%
Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Donald J. Trump)	Kalshi	4%
Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Andy Beshear)	Kalshi	4%
Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Mark Kelly)	Kalshi	3%
Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Pete Buttigieg)	Kalshi	3%
Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Elissa Slotkin)	Kalshi	3%
Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Wes Moore)	Kalshi	3%
Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Elise Stefanik)	Kalshi	3%
Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Sarah Huckabee Sanders)	Kalshi	2%
Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Raphael Warnock)	Kalshi	2%
Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Katie Britt)	Kalshi	2%
Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (J.D. Vance)	Kalshi	2%
Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Glenn Youngkin)	Kalshi	2%
Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Ro Khanna)	Kalshi	2%
Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Ron DeSantis)	Kalshi	2%
Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Roy Cooper)	Kalshi	2%
Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Kamala Harris)	Kalshi	2%
Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Gavin Newsom)	Kalshi	2%
Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Erika Kirk)	Kalshi	2%
Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Byron Donalds)	Kalshi	2%
Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Michelle Obama)	Kalshi	1%
Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Donald J. Trump Jr.)	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

11%

Top Probability

$24.57K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

In 2028 If X wins the 2028 United States vice presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. The winner is the person elected Vice President of the United States for the term beginning in 2029: the candidate receiving a majority of electoral votes for Vice President as counted by Congress, or the person chosen by the Senate under the Twelfth Amendment if no candidate receives a majority. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations proj

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** 2028 U.S. Vice-Presidential Election winner
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In 2028

If X wins the 2028 United States vice presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. The winner is the person elected Vice President of the United States for the term beginning in 2029: the candidate receiving a majority of electoral votes for Vice President as counted by Congress, or the person chosen by the Senate under the Twelfth Amendment if no candidate receives a majority. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations proj

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Wes Moore wins the 2028 United States vice presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The winner is the person elected Vice President of the United States for the term beginning in 2029: the candidate receiving a majority of electoral votes for Vice President as coun"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $24.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Wes Moore)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 6, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Sarah Huckabee Sanders)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 6, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Raphael Warnock)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 6, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Ro Khanna)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 6, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Ron DeSantis)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 6, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Roy Cooper)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 6, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Pete Buttigieg)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 6, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Marco Rubio)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 6, 2030): Vol $6.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Michelle Obama)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 6, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Mark Kelly)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 6, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Kamala Harris)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 6, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Katie Britt)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 6, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (J.D. Vance)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 6, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (James Talarico)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 6, 2030): Vol $833
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Josh Shapiro)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 6, 2030): Vol $557
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Jon Ossoff)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 6, 2030): Vol $375
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Glenn Youngkin)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 6, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Gretchen Whitmer)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 6, 2030): Vol $11.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Gavin Newsom)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 6, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Elise Stefanik)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 6, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Elissa Slotkin)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 6, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Erika Kirk)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 6, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Donald J. Trump)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 6, 2030): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Donald J. Trump Jr.)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 6, 2030): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Byron Donalds)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 6, 2030): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 6, 2030): Vol $2.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Andy Beshear)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 6, 2030): Vol $250
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

2028 U.S. Vice-Presidential Election winner

Volume$24.57K

Markets27

27 of 27

Sort:

KALSHI

Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 10.5¢No 89.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez)

If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins the 2028 United States vice presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The winner is the person elected Vice President of the United States for the term beginning in 2029: the candidate receiving a majority of electoral votes for Vice Pr

KALSHI

Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Marco Rubio)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 10.0¢No 90.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Marco Rubio)

If Marco Rubio wins the 2028 United States vice presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The winner is the person elected Vice President of the United States for the term beginning in 2029: the candidate receiving a majority of electoral votes for Vice President as co

KALSHI

Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Josh Shapiro)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Josh Shapiro)

If Josh Shapiro wins the 2028 United States vice presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The winner is the person elected Vice President of the United States for the term beginning in 2029: the candidate receiving a majority of electoral votes for Vice President as c

KALSHI

Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Jon Ossoff)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Jon Ossoff)

If Jon Ossoff wins the 2028 United States vice presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The winner is the person elected Vice President of the United States for the term beginning in 2029: the candidate receiving a majority of electoral votes for Vice President as cou

KALSHI

Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (James Talarico)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.0¢No 96.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (James Talarico)

If James Talarico wins the 2028 United States vice presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The winner is the person elected Vice President of the United States for the term beginning in 2029: the candidate receiving a majority of electoral votes for Vice President as

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3¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/hixKRN" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="2028 U.S. Vice-Presidential Election winner"></iframe>

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2028 U.S. Vice-Presidential Election winner

2028 U.S. Vice-Presidential Election winner

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Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez)

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Educational Context

Events (1)

2028 U.S. Vice-Presidential Election winner

Markets (27)

Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez)

Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez)

Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Marco Rubio)

Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Marco Rubio)

Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Josh Shapiro)

Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Josh Shapiro)

Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Jon Ossoff)

Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Jon Ossoff)

Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (James Talarico)

Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (James Talarico)

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

2028 U.S. Vice-Presidential Election winner

Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez)

Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez)

Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Marco Rubio)

Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Marco Rubio)

Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Josh Shapiro)

Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Josh Shapiro)

Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Jon Ossoff)

Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Jon Ossoff)

Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (James Talarico)

Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (James Talarico)

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