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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

Survivor 50 Winner

Name: Survivor 50 Winner
End: 2026-05-20T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.35M

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Survivor 50 Winner

Vol

$1.35M

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1.35M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.35M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

24 markets tracked

Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(24)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	Poly	91%
Will Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?	Poly	3%
Will Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?	Poly	3%
Will Ozzy Lusth win Survivor Season 50?	Poly	2%
Will Rizo Velovic win Survivor Season 50?	Poly	1%
Will Joe Hunter win Survivor Season 50?	Poly	1%
Will Christian Hubicki win Survivor Season 50?	Poly	0%
Will Emily Flippen win Survivor Season 50?	Poly	0%
Will Rick Devens win Survivor Season 50?	Poly	0%
Will Jenna Lewis-Dougherty win Survivor Season 50?	Poly	0%
Will Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick win Survivor Season 50?	Poly	0%
Will Colby Donaldson win Survivor Season 50?	Poly	0%
Will Mike White win Survivor Season 50?	Poly	0%
Will Angelina Keeley win Survivor Season 50?	Poly	0%
Will Charlie Davis win Survivor Season 50?	Poly	0%
Will Genevieve Mushaluk win Survivor Season 50?	Poly	0%
Will Kamilla Karthigesu win Survivor Season 50?	Poly	0%
Will Benjamin "Coach" Wade win Survivor Season 50?	Poly	0%
Will Quintavius "Q" Burdette win Survivor Season 50?	Poly	0%
Will Tiffany Nicole Ervin win Survivor Season 50?	Poly	0%
Will Chrissy Hofbeck win Survivor Season 50?	Poly	0%
Will Dee Valladares win Survivor Season 50?	Poly	0%
Will Kyle Fraser win Survivor Season 50?	Poly	0%
Will Savannah Louie win Survivor Season 50?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

91%

Top Probability

$1.35M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be th

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, August 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Survivor 50 Winner
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 20, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50.

If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. 

This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.

The resolution source for this market will be th

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50.

If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will reso"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.35M
* **Total Liquidity:** $227.5K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 5.95)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 20, 2026): Vol $205.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 91.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Rizo Velovic win Survivor Season 50?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 20, 2026): Vol $92.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Emily Flippen win Survivor Season 50?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 20, 2026): Vol $40.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Jenna Lewis-Dougherty win Survivor Season 50?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 20, 2026): Vol $37.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick win Survivor Season 50?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 20, 2026): Vol $45.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Colby Donaldson win Survivor Season 50?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 20, 2026): Vol $39.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Mike White win Survivor Season 50?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 20, 2026): Vol $59.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Angelina Keeley win Survivor Season 50?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 20, 2026): Vol $26.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Charlie Davis win Survivor Season 50?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 20, 2026): Vol $55.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Genevieve Mushaluk win Survivor Season 50?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 20, 2026): Vol $31.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Kamilla Karthigesu win Survivor Season 50?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 20, 2026): Vol $45.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Joe Hunter win Survivor Season 50?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 20, 2026): Vol $89.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 20, 2026): Vol $50.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.8% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Benjamin "Coach" Wade win Survivor Season 50?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 20, 2026): Vol $33.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Ozzy Lusth win Survivor Season 50?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 20, 2026): Vol $72.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Quintavius "Q" Burdette win Survivor Season 50?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 20, 2026): Vol $36.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Tiffany Nicole Ervin win Survivor Season 50?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 20, 2026): Vol $28.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 20, 2026): Vol $69.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Chrissy Hofbeck win Survivor Season 50?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 20, 2026): Vol $37.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Christian Hubicki win Survivor Season 50?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 20, 2026): Vol $71.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Dee Valladares win Survivor Season 50?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 20, 2026): Vol $80.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Rick Devens win Survivor Season 50?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 20, 2026): Vol $53.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Kyle Fraser win Survivor Season 50?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 20, 2026): Vol $10.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Savannah Louie win Survivor Season 50?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 20, 2026): Vol $41.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture