Name: Toulouse FC vs. AJ Auxerre
End: 2026-02-01T16:15:00.000Z

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Toulouse FC vs. AJ Auxerre | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-01?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-01?	Poly	56%
Will Toulouse FC vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?	Poly	27%
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-02-01?	Poly	18%

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Toulouse FC vs. AJ Auxerre
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Feb 1, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming Ligue 1 game, scheduled for Sunday, February 1, 2026 between Toulouse FC and AJ Auxerre.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for February 1, 2026
If Toulouse FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.17M
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-01?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 1, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 55.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Toulouse FC vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 1, 2026): Vol $124
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-02-01?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 1, 2026): Vol $552
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

33¢

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Toulouse FC vs. AJ Auxerre

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Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-01?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Toulouse FC vs. AJ Auxerre

Markets (3)

Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-01?

Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-01?

Will Toulouse FC vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?

Will Toulouse FC vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?

Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-02-01?

Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-02-01?

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Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-01?

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Toulouse FC vs. AJ Auxerre

Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-01?

Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-01?

Will Toulouse FC vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?

Will Toulouse FC vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?

Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-02-01?

Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-02-01?

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