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Events
GroupKALSHI

United States Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position

United States Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position
Vol

K 1.1K contracts

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Events

1

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Markets

22

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 1.1K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

22

Saved contracts

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

About This Event

United States Grand Prix If X set the fastest valid qualifying lap time in the Qualifying session, Q3, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 United States Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes. For the purposes of this market, Pole Position is awarded to the driver who records the fastest official lap time in the Qualifying session, Q3, of the Grand Prix, as determined by the FIA’s published classification. If Qualifying does not progress to Q3, e.g., weather, red flags, or format changes, Pole Position will be awarded based on FIA’s official qualifying results for that event. Pole Position for this market is determined exclusively by the official "Final Qualifying Classification" and is not impacted by the final starting grid; any subsequent grid penalties or starting-order adjustments do not change who is deemed to have achieved Pole Position. Sprint race qualifying sessions are not considered for this market. If the qualifying session is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the qualifying session is cancelled, moved to a different circuit, or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketSports
United States Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position

United States Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position

PM $47.73
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Yes 33.5%
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Yes 23.5%
Will Lance Stroll get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Yes 17.5%
+20 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketSports
United States Grand Prix: Constructor Pole Position

United States Grand Prix: Constructor Pole Position

PM $122.15
Will Mercedes get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Yes 54.5%
Will Red Bull get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Yes 54.5%
Will Ferrari get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Yes 50%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketSports
United States Grand Prix: Driver Winner

United States Grand Prix: Driver Winner

PM $3.1K
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Yes 42.5%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Yes 26.5%
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Yes 8%
+20 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketSports
United States Grand Prix: Driver Podium Finish

United States Grand Prix: Driver Podium Finish

PM $157.53
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Yes 74.5%
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Yes 67.5%
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Yes 35%
+20 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketSports
Mexican Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position

Mexican Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position

PM $20
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?Yes 50.5%
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?Yes 50.5%
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?Yes 50.5%
+20 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
PolymarketSports
United States Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap

United States Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap

PM $0
Will Fernando Alonso achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Yes 48.5%
Will Sergio Perez achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Yes 48.5%
Will Franco Colapinto achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Yes 48.5%
+20 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

0

No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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