GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETEconomy

Central Bank of Colombia decision in September

Name: Central Bank of Colombia decision in September
End: 2026-09-30T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$25.93K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Central Bank of Colombia decision in September

Vol

$25.93K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $25.93K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $25.93K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?	Poly	88%
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?	Poly	7%
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	Poly	4%
Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?	Poly	3%
Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

88%

Top Probability

$25.93K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la Republica), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calenda

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Central Bank of Colombia decision in September
**Category:** Economy | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Sep 30, 2026 (25 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la Republica), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calenda

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la Republica), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source will be official informa"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $25.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $4.7K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 5.57)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.1% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $11.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 87.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $9.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $2.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.7% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETEconomy