This event has ended. Showing historical data.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETWorld

Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Name: Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
End: 2026-08-02T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$68.25K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Vol

$68.25K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $68.25K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $68.25K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Poly	92%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

92%

Top Probability

$68.25K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Aug 2, 2026 (23 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No". 

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA Wo"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $68.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $12.0K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 5.68)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 2, 2026): Vol $68.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 91.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETWorld