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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Second-best AI Lab end of October?

Second-best AI Lab end of October?
Vol

PM $68.3K

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Events

1

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Markets

21

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Anthropic at 74.5%.

Polymarket

  1. Anthropic74.5%
  2. Google18%
  3. Meta3.9%
  4. Alibaba0.6%
  5. OpenAI0.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $68.3K

Reported volume · provider units

21

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketTech
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

PM $78.0K
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 54%
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 38.5%
Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 5.1%
+17 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

PM $71.5K
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 81.5%
Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 6.3%
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 4.6%
+15 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

PM $47.8K
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 85.5%
Will Meta be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 7.3%
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 4.3%
+13 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

PM $304.5K · K 63.9K contracts

Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th? (Xiaomi)

Related contracts

PM Yes 58.5%Rules differK Yes 83.5%

Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?

Kalshi: Top Chinese AI company on October 31, 2026? (Xiaomi)

Related contracts

PM Yes 22%Rules differK Yes 59.5%

Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Top Chinese AI company on October 31, 2026? (Xiaomi)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 58.5%Rules differK Yes 59.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

28 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best AI Lab end of October?

Third-best AI Lab end of October?

PM $65.3K
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 84.5%
Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 7.5%
Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 2.9%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best AI Lab end of November?

Second-best AI Lab end of November?

PM $26.0K
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 41.5%
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 38.5%
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 11.6%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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