Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHICommodities

Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 14, 2026?

Total Volume

$1.33K

Events

Markets

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Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 14, 2026?

Vol

$1.33K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $1.33K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.33K

100%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

30 markets tracked

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 83.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?

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Single-Platform Markets(30)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 83.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?	Kalshi	97%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 83.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?	Kalshi	96%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 84.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?	Kalshi	95%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 84.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?	Kalshi	94%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 85.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?	Kalshi	92%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 85.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?	Kalshi	91%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 86.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?	Kalshi	89%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 86.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?	Kalshi	86%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 87.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?	Kalshi	83%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 87.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?	Kalshi	79%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 88.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?	Kalshi	76%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 88.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?	Kalshi	71%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 89.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?	Kalshi	67%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 89.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?	Kalshi	62%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 90.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?	Kalshi	56%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 90.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?	Kalshi	50%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 91.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?	Kalshi	44%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 91.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?	Kalshi	38%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 92.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?	Kalshi	33%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 92.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?	Kalshi	27%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 93.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?	Kalshi	23%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 93.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?	Kalshi	19%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 94.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?	Kalshi	15%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 94.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?	Kalshi	12%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 95.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?	Kalshi	8%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 95.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?	Kalshi	7%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 96.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?	Kalshi	6%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 96.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?	Kalshi	5%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 97.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?	Kalshi	4%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 97.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

97%

Top Probability

$1.33K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Oct 14, 2026 If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil, November 2026 contract, on October 14, 2026 is above X USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. Settlement is based on the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward to the next contract 2 business days before the current contract's last trading day. For example, if the May 2026 contract's last trading day is April 28, the active month switches from May → June 2 business days prior to the expiry date. The settlement contract and

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 14, 2026?
**Category:** Commodities | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Oct 14, 2026

If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil, November 2026 contract, on October 14, 2026 is above X USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. Settlement is based on the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward to the next contract 2 business days before the current contract's last trading day. For example, if the May 2026 contract's last trading day is April 28, the active month switches from May → June 2 business days prior to the expiry date. The settlement contract and

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil(November 2026 contract) on October 14, 2026 is above 97.99 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement is based on the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward to the next contract 2 business days before the current cont"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 97.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 97.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 96.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 96.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $172
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 95.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 95.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 94.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 94.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $500
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 93.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $60
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 93.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $25
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 92.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $39
  DATA: [Yes: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 92.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $8
  DATA: [Yes: 33.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 91.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 91.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $256
  DATA: [Yes: 44.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 90.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 90.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 56.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 89.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $256
  DATA: [Yes: 62.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 89.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 67.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 88.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 71.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 29.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 88.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 76.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 87.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 79.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 21.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 87.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 83.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 86.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 86.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 86.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 89.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 85.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 91.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 85.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 92.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 84.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 94.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.0% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 84.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 83.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.0% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 83.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHICommodities

Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 14, 2026?

Volume$1.33K

Markets30

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KALSHI

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 83.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.0¢No 3.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 83.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?

If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil(November 2026 contract) on October 14, 2026 is above 83.49 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement is based on the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward to the next contract 2 business days before the current cont

KALSHI

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 83.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.0¢No 4.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 83.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?

If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil(November 2026 contract) on October 14, 2026 is above 83.99 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement is based on the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward to the next contract 2 business days before the current cont

KALSHI

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 84.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.0¢No 5.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 84.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?

If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil(November 2026 contract) on October 14, 2026 is above 84.49 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement is based on the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward to the next contract 2 business days before the current cont

KALSHI

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 84.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.0¢No 6.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 84.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?

If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil(November 2026 contract) on October 14, 2026 is above 84.99 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement is based on the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward to the next contract 2 business days before the current cont

KALSHI

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 85.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 92.0¢No 8.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 85.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?

If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil(November 2026 contract) on October 14, 2026 is above 85.49 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement is based on the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward to the next contract 2 business days before the current cont

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/hvysbK" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 14, 2026?"></iframe>

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Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 14, 2026?

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Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 83.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?

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Events (1)

Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 14, 2026?

Markets (30)

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 83.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 83.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 83.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 83.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 84.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 84.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 84.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 84.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 85.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 85.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?

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Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 83.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 14, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 83.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 83.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 83.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 83.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 84.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 84.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 84.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 84.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 85.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 85.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 14, 2026?

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