Events
GroupPOLYMARKET
Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports
LoL: Los Ratones vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season
Total Volume
$8.10K
Events
1
Markets
1
LoL: Los Ratones vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season
Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison
Polymarket
1
markets · $8.10K
Kalshi
0
markets · $0.00
Price Spread
0.0%avg
max 0.0%
Arbitrage
0
of 0 cross-platform
Volume DistributionTotal: $8.10K
100%
Polymarket leads
Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph
1 market tracked
LoL: Los Ratones vs Fnatic (BO1)
No data available
Single-Platform Markets(1)
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 30% |
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
30%
Top Probability
$8.10K
Volume
1
Markets
1
Platforms
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Los Ratones" if Los Ratones win against Fnatic in the named LoL match in the LEC Versus Regular Season, scheduled for January 17 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win against Los Ratones in the LoL match. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official i
Current Market Outlook
Prediction markets are pricing in a significant underdog scenario for the LEC Versus Regular Season match. On Polymarket, the contract for a Los Ratones victory is trading at just 30%, implying the market assigns them only a 3-in-10 chance of winning this Best-of-One. Conversely, this prices Fnatic as a heavy 70% favorite. This probability suggests the market views a Fnatic win as the clear, expected outcome, though the 30% line for Los Ratones indicates a non-trivial possibility for an upset, especially in a volatile BO1 format.
Key Factors Driving the Odds
Two primary factors are driving this lopsided pricing. First, there is a substantial historical performance gap between these organizations. Fnatic is a perennial LEC powerhouse with a deep legacy, while Los Ratones is a newly promoted team from the Spanish Superliga, making its debut on the LEC stage. The market is heavily weighing institutional experience and proven tier-one talent.
Second, the thin market liquidity, with only $8,000 in volume, can amplify price movements based on sentiment rather than deep analysis. The current odds likely reflect a consensus view that favors established teams in early-season matches, where rookies often face a steep adaptation curve. The market is betting on Fnatic's superior macro play and individual skill ceilings to prevail.
What Could Change These Odds
The primary catalyst for a shift in these odds would be the release of scrimmage performance rumors or draft strategy leaks in the next 48 hours. The esports information ecosystem often sees rapid price adjustments based on insider reports about team form. Additionally, any announced player illness or last-minute roster substitution for either team, especially for Fnatic, could dramatically tighten the spread.
Furthermore, the inherent volatility of a BO1 match is the biggest risk to the current pricing. A single draft innovation, a surprise champion pick, or early-game mistakes from Fnatic could allow Los Ratones to secure an upset. If betting action shows smart money flowing toward the underdog contract on Wednesday, it could signal that informed traders are anticipating a closer contest than the initial 30% line suggests.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.