Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Big 12: Passing Touchdowns Leader

Total Volume

$331.39

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Big 12: Passing Touchdowns Leader

Vol

$331.39

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $331.39

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $331.39

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

22 markets tracked

Drew Mestemaker records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(22)

Market	Platform	Price
Drew Mestemaker records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12	Kalshi	46%
Cutter Boley records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12	Kalshi	24%
Conner Weigman records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12	Kalshi	20%
DJ Lagway records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12	Kalshi	19%
Will Hammond records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12	Kalshi	18%
Alonza Barnett III records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12	Kalshi	18%
Noah Fifita records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12	Kalshi	16%
Avery Johnson records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12	Kalshi	15%
Bear Bachmeier records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12	Kalshi	15%
Devon Dampier records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12	Kalshi	14%
Jaden Craig records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12	Kalshi	14%
Julian Lewis records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12	Kalshi	10%
JC French IV records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12	Kalshi	9%
Michael Hawkins Jr. records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12	Kalshi	9%
Jaylen Raynor records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12	Kalshi	8%
Scotty Fox Jr. records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12	Kalshi	6%
Kirk Francis records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12	Kalshi	6%
Keyone Jenkins records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12	Kalshi	5%
Grant Jordan records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12	Kalshi	5%
Chase Jenkins records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12	Kalshi	5%
Luke Carney records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12	Kalshi	5%
Liam O'Brien records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12	Kalshi	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

46%

Top Probability

$331.39

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Passing Touchdowns (2026) If X records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12 Conference in the 2026 college football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. All regular season games count towards this market, regardless of whether the game is within conference. Conference championship games are not included in the regular season. X does not play in the Big 12 in the 2026 regular season for any reason, the market for that player resolves to No. If multiple players are tied for the m

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Big 12: Passing Touchdowns Leader
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Passing Touchdowns (2026)

If X records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12 Conference in the 2026 college football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. All regular season games count towards this market, regardless of whether the game is within conference. Conference championship games are not included in the regular season. X does not play in the Big 12 in the 2026 regular season for any reason, the market for that player resolves to No. If multiple players are tied for the m

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Scotty Fox Jr. records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12 Conference in the 2026 college football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: All regular season games count towards this market, regardless of whether the game is within conference. Conference championsh"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $331
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Scotty Fox Jr. records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Michael Hawkins Jr. records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Devon Dampier records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Keyone Jenkins records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Alonza Barnett III records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Hammond records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $86
  DATA: [Yes: 18.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Kirk Francis records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Jaden Craig records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Grant Jordan records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Drew Mestemaker records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $7
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Chase Jenkins records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Avery Johnson records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $49
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Jaylen Raynor records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Luke Carney records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Conner Weigman records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Julian Lewis records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $145
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Liam O'Brien records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. JC French IV records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Bear Bachmeier records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $28
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. DJ Lagway records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Cutter Boley records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 24.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Noah Fifita records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $17
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Big 12: Passing Touchdowns Leader

Volume$331.39

Markets22

22 of 22

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KALSHI

Drew Mestemaker records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 45.5¢No 54.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Drew Mestemaker records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12

If Drew Mestemaker records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12 Conference in the 2026 college football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: All regular season games count towards this market, regardless of whether the game is within conference. Conference champions

KALSHI

Cutter Boley records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 24.0¢No 76.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Cutter Boley records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12

If Cutter Boley records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12 Conference in the 2026 college football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: All regular season games count towards this market, regardless of whether the game is within conference. Conference championship

KALSHI

Conner Weigman records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 19.5¢No 80.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Conner Weigman records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12

If Conner Weigman records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12 Conference in the 2026 college football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: All regular season games count towards this market, regardless of whether the game is within conference. Conference championsh

KALSHI

DJ Lagway records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 19.0¢No 81.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

DJ Lagway records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12

If DJ Lagway records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12 Conference in the 2026 college football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: All regular season games count towards this market, regardless of whether the game is within conference. Conference championship ga

KALSHI

Will Hammond records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 18.0¢No 82.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Hammond records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12

If Will Hammond records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12 Conference in the 2026 college football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: All regular season games count towards this market, regardless of whether the game is within conference. Conference championship

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Average Yes Price

13¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/i280-o" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Big 12: Passing Touchdowns Leader"></iframe>

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Big 12: Passing Touchdowns Leader

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Drew Mestemaker records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Big 12: Passing Touchdowns Leader

Markets (22)

Drew Mestemaker records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12

Drew Mestemaker records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12

Cutter Boley records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12

Cutter Boley records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12

Conner Weigman records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12

Conner Weigman records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12

DJ Lagway records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12

DJ Lagway records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12

Will Hammond records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12

Will Hammond records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12

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Drew Mestemaker records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12

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Big 12: Passing Touchdowns Leader

Drew Mestemaker records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12

Drew Mestemaker records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12

Cutter Boley records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12

Cutter Boley records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12

Conner Weigman records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12

Conner Weigman records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12

DJ Lagway records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12

DJ Lagway records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12

Will Hammond records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12

Will Hammond records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12

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