Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda

Total Volume

$22.00

Events

Markets

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Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda

Vol

$22.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $22.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $22.00

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Crvena Zvezda wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Crvena Zvezda wins	Kalshi	42%
Lugano wins	Kalshi	32%
Tie is the result	Kalshi	26%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

42%

Top Probability

$22.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

LUG vs CZV (Oct 15) If X wins the Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda professional Conference League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda professional Conference League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a tie, th

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** LUG vs CZV (Oct 15)

If X wins the Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda professional Conference League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda professional Conference League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a tie, th

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Tie is the result of the Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda professional Conference League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Lu"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $22
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Tie is the result
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Lugano wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Crvena Zvezda wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $22
  DATA: [Yes: 42.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda

Volume$22.00

Markets3

3 of 3

Sort:

KALSHI

Crvena Zvezda wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 42.0¢No 58.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Crvena Zvezda wins

If Crvena Zvezda wins the Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda professional Conference League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Luga

KALSHI

Lugano wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 32.0¢No 68.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Lugano wins

If Lugano wins the Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda professional Conference League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Lugano vs C

KALSHI

Tie is the result

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 26.0¢No 74.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Tie is the result

If Tie is the result of the Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda professional Conference League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Lu

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Average Yes Price

33¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/i4oHqG" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda"></iframe>

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Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda

Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda

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Crvena Zvezda wins

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda

Markets (3)

Crvena Zvezda wins

Crvena Zvezda wins

Lugano wins

Lugano wins

Tie is the result

Tie is the result

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Crvena Zvezda wins

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Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda

Crvena Zvezda wins

Crvena Zvezda wins

Lugano wins

Lugano wins

Tie is the result

Tie is the result

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