Colorado gas prices tomorrow
K 188.89 contracts
1
27
Colorado gas prices tomorrow
K 188.89 contracts
1
27
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Above 4.2150 at 95.5%.
Kalshi
- Above 4.215095.5%
- Above 4.225095.5%
- Above 4.230095.5%
- Above 4.220095%
- Above 4.235095%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 188.89 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
27
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
On Oct 31, 2026 If average regular gas prices for Colorado are strictly greater than X on Oct 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-28T03:00:06.402Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied Kalshi event asks whether average regular gas prices for Colorado will be strictly greater than a stated threshold X on October 28, 2026, "according to AAA" [1]. Each market in the event uses a different threshold, so each one resolves on its own threshold. The excerpt says the market "resolves to Yes" under that condition [1]. The market records list an end date of November 4, 2026 at 14:00 UTC [1]. The excerpt itself says the listed end time is "not supplied" [1], so the reader should treat the November 4 timestamp as a field in the market data rather than a confirmed settlement time.
Reading the snapshot
The observation was taken at 03:00:06 UTC on October 28, 2026, and retrieved at 03:14:25 UTC the same day [1]. These prices describe that moment only. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities.
The event lists 27 markets, but only 12 are included in this sample [1]. The included markets were selected by highest finite Yes price, then by volume [1]. Because the omitted markets are outside this selection, the sample cannot show how the full set of thresholds was priced, and the reader should not infer prices for the omitted thresholds.
Among the 12 included markets, Yes prices range from 0.125 to 0.5 [1]. The thresholds at $4.3550 and $4.4000 show Yes prices of 0.50, and several thresholds between $4.4000 and $4.4750 show prices between 0.485 and 0.49 [1]. Three thresholds at $4.4250, $4.4300 and $4.4600 show Yes prices of 0.125 [1]. The sequence is not monotonic. The $4.4250 threshold is priced at 0.125, while the higher $4.4350 threshold is priced at 0.485 [1]. The source does not explain this pattern, so the reader should check the threshold wording and snapshot before drawing conclusions from the ordering.
Volume is not liquidity or a count of traders, and this snapshot does not show how many participants hold any position.
What remains uncertain
The sample is partial, the listed end time is not supplied in the excerpt, and the final AAA figure for October 28 is not part of the evidence. The reader cannot tell from this snapshot what the price will be at settlement or why the prices are where they are. Prices across different thresholds should not be compared as a single probability distribution, and differences between prices here should not be treated as arbitrage opportunities without separate verification.
References
- Kalshi: Colorado gas prices tomorrow. Provider data observed 2026-10-28T03:00:06.402Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 28, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Kalshi event titled "Colorado gas prices tomorrow" in the Economics category. The contract rule states that if average regular gas prices for Colorado are strictly greater than a chosen threshold X on October 28, 2026, according to AAA, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The threshold is the variable that differs between the individual markets in the event. Each market asks whether the Colorado average will be above a specific dollar figure. The titles in the sample use thresholds such as $4.3550, $4.4000 and $4.4650 [1]. Because the rule uses a strict "greater than" test, an average exactly equal to a threshold would not satisfy the Yes condition under the wording of the rule [1]. The date in the rule, October 28, 2026, is the date on which the gas price is measured. It is not an announced event or publication date. The sampled markets list an end date of November 4, 2026 at 14:00 UTC in the provider data, which is separate from the October 28 rule date [1]. The provider data did not supply a listed end time for the event itself [1]. The price figures in this entry are snapshots taken at the provider observation time shown in the data, not live quotes. Each outcome shows a Yes price and a No price. In the sampled markets these prices sum to one, so a Yes price of 0.5 is shown alongside a No price of 0.5 [1]. These prices reflect the market at that moment and are not verified probabilities of the gas price outcome, and they are not executable quotes.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the average price of regular gas in Colorado, as reported by AAA, is strictly above a stated threshold on October 28, 2026 [1]. Traders can see how the market prices each threshold, which shows where the market currently places the outcome relative to each figure [1]. In the sampled markets, the thresholds from $4.3550 to $4.4650 show Yes prices between 0.49 and 0.50, while thresholds at $4.4250, $4.4300 and $4.4600 show Yes prices of 0.125 [1]. These readings describe a single snapshot of one event and say nothing about how the price may move later.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-28 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does this contract actually need to happen to resolve Yes?
The rule requires that average regular gas prices for Colorado be strictly greater than the stated threshold X on October 28, 2026, according to AAA [1]. An average equal to the threshold does not meet the strict test described in the rule [1].
Why are there many markets within one event?
The event contains several markets, each using a different threshold for the same Colorado average and date [1]. The sample included 12 of the 27 markets in the saved event, so it does not show every threshold [1].
Does a Yes price of 0.5 mean the market expects a 50 percent chance?
The prices are snapshots from the provider data and are not verified probabilities [1]. They show what the market was quoting at the observation time, and they are not executable quotes [1].
Is the November 4 date the day this contract resolves?
The rule ties the measurement to October 28, 2026 [1]. The sampled markets list a November 4, 2026 end date in the provider data, but the provider data did not supply a listed end time for the event itself [1]. The two dates should not be treated as the same thing.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
