Ohio gas prices tomorrow
K 628.71 contracts
1
27
Ohio gas prices tomorrow
K 628.71 contracts
1
27
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Above 4.1400 at 95.5%.
Kalshi
- Above 4.140095.5%
- Above 4.145095.5%
- Above 4.150095.5%
- Above 4.155095.5%
- Above 4.130095%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 628.71 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
27
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
On Oct 31, 2026 If average regular gas prices for Ohio are strictly greater than X on Oct 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-23T00:00:06.081Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The Kalshi event "Ohio gas prices tomorrow" uses a threshold rule. If average regular gas prices for Ohio are strictly greater than X on Oct 23, 2026, according to AAA, the market resolves to Yes [1]. Each market in the sample applies a different X, with titles ranging from $4.1000 to $4.2850. Because the wording is "strictly greater than," a reading exactly equal to a threshold would not meet the Yes condition under the stated rule [1].
The market records show an endDate of 2026-10-30 14:00 UTC, but the event excerpt says the listed end time is not supplied [1]. This evidence does not explain that difference, so the closing time should not be treated as confirmed. The contract's measurement date is Oct 23, 2026, which is a date in the rules, not evidence of when any announcement or settlement will occur [1].
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-23T00:00:06Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-23T01:12:11Z [1]. These are historical snapshot times and do not establish current prices. Quoted prices are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
The sample is partial. It includes 12 of 67 markets in this provider event [1]. Markets were ordered by highest finite Yes price, then volume, so the included set reflects that ranking only. Omitted thresholds should not be assumed to be priced lower.
Within the included markets, Yes prices range from 0.975 at the $4.2600 and $4.2850 thresholds to 0.995 at the $4.1200 and $4.2800 thresholds [1]. Higher thresholds generally show lower Yes prices in this sample, which is consistent with the strict-threshold wording. Volume figures are not reported in the excerpt, so they cannot be used to judge liquidity or trader count.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include any AAA reading, resolution outcome, or settlement value for Oct 23, 2026 [1]. It also does not explain why prices sit where they do. The listed end time conflict remains unresolved. Only one platform is represented, so no cross-platform comparison is possible, and differing prices across contracts should not be read as an opportunity without matching rules and closing times.
References
- Kalshi: Ohio gas prices tomorrow. Provider data observed 2026-10-23T00:00:06.081Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 23, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This Kalshi event asks whether the average regular gas price in Ohio will be strictly greater than a set threshold X on October 23, 2026, using AAA as the reference source. If the AAA figure for that date is above X, the market resolves to Yes [1]. Each threshold in the event is its own contract, so the same date can produce different Yes and No prices depending on the level chosen. The contract is tied to a specific observation date rather than an open-ended period. The provider page lists October 23, 2026 as the date the price is measured, and it reports the event as active with no listed end time supplied [1]. The market records in the saved data show an end date of October 30, 2026 at 14:00 UTC. That field is a provider record, not a statement of when the price is observed or when the outcome is announced, so it should not be read as the resolution date [1]. A filling station is a facility that sells fuel and engine lubricants for motor vehicles. It receives fuel from refineries, stores it in tanks, and sells it to motorists at a price that varies from day to day [2]. Retail pump prices are therefore set at the station level, which is why a state-wide average can move between days. The available sources do not explain what drives those day-to-day changes, so this article does not attempt to.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single value: the average regular gas price for Ohio, as reported by AAA, on the stated date [1]. Traders can use its prices to express a view on whether that average will exceed a particular level. The threshold ladder means the event shows how the price is distributed across several levels rather than a single question [1]. The prices in the saved snapshot are close to the extremes. The included Yes prices range from 0.975 to 0.995, and the matching No prices from 0.005 to 0.025 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and a high price on one threshold does not show what the outcome will be. Because the event lists 67 markets but only 12 are included in the saved sample, the omitted thresholds are not part of the displayed picture.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-23 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the Ohio gas prices tomorrow contract resolve on?
The contract resolves to Yes if average regular gas prices for Ohio are strictly greater than the stated threshold on October 23, 2026, according to AAA [1].
Which source determines the outcome?
The contract names AAA as the source for the average regular gas price [1].
What does a filling station do?
A filling station sells fuel and engine lubricants to motorists, receives fuel from refineries, stores it in tanks, and sells it at a daily varied price [2].
Does the market end date mean the price is measured on that day?
No. The saved market records show an end date of October 30, 2026, but the contract's rule refers to prices on October 23, 2026 [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
