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GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform

Event GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform2 EventsSports

English Premier League Winner?

Name: English Premier League Winner?
End: 2026-05-27T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$319.74M

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

English Premier League Winner?

Vol

$319.74M

Events

Markets

Polymarket Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $319.74M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.2%avg

max 0.5%

Arbitrage

of 3 cross-platform

Calculate

Volume DistributionTotal: $319.74M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

20 markets tracked

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

No data available

Cross-Platform Comparison(3)

Market	Polymarket	Kalshi	Diff
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	52%	52%	0%
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	49%	49%	0%
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	0%	1%	0%

Single-Platform Markets(17)

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

52%

Top Probability

$319.74M

Volume

Markets

27.9%

Price Gap

About This Event

On May 24, 2026 If X wins the English Premier League, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared. This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, July 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** English Premier League Winner?
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On May 24, 2026

If X wins the English Premier League, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared. This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Man Utd wins the English Premier League, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $39.51M
* **Total Liquidity:** $601.7K
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 65.66)
* **Platform Split:** Polymarket (3 mkts) vs Kalshi (20 mkts)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Man Utd win the English Premier League?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 23, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]
- **Polymarket** (End: May 27, 2026): Vol $17.01M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Man City win the English Premier League?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 23, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]
- **Polymarket** (End: May 27, 2026): Vol $11.69M
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Arsenal win the English Premier League?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 23, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.5% (0.0%)]
- **Polymarket** (End: May 27, 2026): Vol $10.82M
  DATA: [Yes: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Wolves win the English Premier League?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 23, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will West Ham win the English Premier League?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 23, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Tottenham win the English Premier League?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 23, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Sunderland win the English Premier League?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 23, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Nottingham Forest win the English Premier League?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 23, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Newcastle win the English Premier League?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 23, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Liverpool win the English Premier League?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 23, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Leeds win the English Premier League?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 23, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Fulham win the English Premier League?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 23, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Everton win the English Premier League?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 23, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Crystal Palace win the English Premier League?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 23, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Chelsea win the English Premier League?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 23, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Burnley win the English Premier League?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 23, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Brighton win the English Premier League?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 23, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Brentford win the English Premier League?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 23, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Bournemouth win the English Premier League?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 23, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Aston Villa win the English Premier League?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 23, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

Rules & Resolution

Differs

Rules

Different

Timing

Similar

KALSHISports

English Premier League Winner?

Volume$0.00

Markets20

POLYMARKETSports

English Premier League Winner

This is a polymarket to predict which club will win the 2025–26 English Premier League (soccer).

Volume$319.74M

Markets3

20 of 20

Sort:

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Will Arsenal win the English Premier League?

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Platform Price Comparison

Average51.5%

Polymarket

51.5%

Kalshi

51.5%

Difference:0.0%

Kalshi higher

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.5¢No 48.5¢

KKalshi

Yes 51.5¢No 48.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Arsenal win the English Premier League?

If Arsenal wins the English Premier League, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared.

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will win the 2025–26 English Premier League. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 English Premier League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for th

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Will Man City win the English Premier League?

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Platform Price Comparison

Average48.5%

Polymarket

48.5%

Kalshi

48.5%

Difference:0.0%

Kalshi higher

PMPolymarket

Yes 48.5¢No 51.5¢

KKalshi

Yes 48.5¢No 51.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Man City win the English Premier League?

If Man City wins the English Premier League, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared.

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

33¢

Polymarket

5¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/i8igln" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="English Premier League Winner?"></iframe>

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English Premier League Winner?