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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap

Name: Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap
End: 2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$397.03K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap

Vol

$397.03K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $397.03K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $397.03K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?	Poly	90%
Will Databricks’ market cap be between $100B and $125B at market close on IPO day?	Poly	4%
Will Databricks’ market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?	Poly	3%
Will Databricks’ market cap be $250B or greater at market close on IPO day?	Poly	1%
Will Databricks’ market cap be between $125B and $150B at market close on IPO day?	Poly	1%
Will Databricks’ market cap be between $150B and $175B at market close on IPO day?	Poly	1%
Will Databricks’ market cap be between $175B and $200B at market close on IPO day?	Poly	1%
Will Databricks’ market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

90%

Top Probability

$397.03K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly betwee

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, July 14, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 30, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly betwee

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $397.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $4.3K
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 91.74)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Databricks’ market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $32.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Databricks’ market cap be between $100B and $125B at market close on IPO day?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $61.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.4% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Databricks’ market cap be between $125B and $150B at market close on IPO day?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $25.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Databricks’ market cap be between $150B and $175B at market close on IPO day?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $59.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Databricks’ market cap be between $175B and $200B at market close on IPO day?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $57.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Databricks’ market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $19.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Databricks’ market cap be $250B or greater at market close on IPO day?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $125.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $15.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 90.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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