This event has ended. Showing historical data.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCrypto

Nexus FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Name: Nexus FDV above ___ one day after launch?
End: 2028-01-01T05:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$24.79K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Nexus FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Vol

$24.79K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $24.79K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Price gaps

of 0 cross-platform

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $24.79K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Nexus FDV above $800M one day after launch?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Nexus FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Poly	88%
Nexus FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Poly	77%
Nexus FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Poly	64%
Nexus FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Poly	49%
Nexus FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Poly	35%
Nexus FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Poly	25%
Nexus FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Poly	19%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

88%

Top Probability

$24.79K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Nexus's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Nexus FDV above ___ one day after launch?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2028 (445 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Nexus's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Nexus's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

Th"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $24.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $19.4K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.28)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Nexus FDV above $800M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $8.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 88.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.6% (0.0%)]

### 2. Nexus FDV above $20M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 76.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Nexus FDV above $50M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 64.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Nexus FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $3.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Nexus FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $6.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Nexus FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 24.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.1% (0.0%)]

### 7. Nexus FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 19.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.6% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

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