Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Vallecano vs Bilbao: First Half Spread

Total Volume

$2.36K

Events

Markets

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Vallecano vs Bilbao: First Half Spread

Vol

$2.36K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $2.36K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.36K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Vallecano wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Vallecano wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half	Kalshi	30%
Bilbao wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half	Kalshi	21%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

30%

Top Probability

$2.36K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

RVC vs ATH (Oct 10) If X win by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half of the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Only goals scored during the 1st Half c

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Vallecano vs Bilbao: First Half Spread
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** RVC vs ATH (Oct 10)

If X win by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half of the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Only goals scored during the 1st Half c

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Vallecano win by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half of the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game origina"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Vallecano wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $959
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Bilbao wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Vallecano vs Bilbao: First Half Spread

Volume$2.36K

Markets2

2 of 2

Sort:

KALSHI

Vallecano wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 29.5¢No 70.5¢

KALSHISports

Vallecano wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

If Vallecano win by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half of the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game origina

KALSHI

Bilbao wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 20.5¢No 79.5¢

KALSHISports

Bilbao wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

If Bilbao win by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half of the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally

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25¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/iMZWd-" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Vallecano vs Bilbao: First Half Spread"></iframe>

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Vallecano vs Bilbao: First Half Spread

Vallecano vs Bilbao: First Half Spread

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Vallecano wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

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Events (1)

Vallecano vs Bilbao: First Half Spread

Markets (2)

Vallecano wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

Vallecano wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

Bilbao wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

Bilbao wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

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Vallecano wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

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Vallecano vs Bilbao: First Half Spread

Vallecano wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

Vallecano wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

Bilbao wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

Bilbao wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

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