This event has ended. Showing historical data.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

Apple Q2 iPhone revenue above ___?

Name: Apple Q2 iPhone revenue above ___?
End: 2026-04-30T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$176.86

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Apple Q2 iPhone revenue above ___?

Vol

$176.86

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $176.86

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $176.86

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Apple Q2 iPhone revenue above $56B?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Apple Q2 iPhone revenue above $56B?	Poly	64%
Apple Q2 iPhone revenue above $58B?	Poly	50%
Apple Q2 iPhone revenue above $60B?	Poly	49%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

64%

Top Probability

$176.86

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple's iPhone revenue (net sales) for the second fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Apple Q2 iPhone revenue above ___?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 30, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple's iPhone revenue (net sales) for the second fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
 
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
 
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple's iPhone revenue (net sales) for the second fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
 
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $177
* **Total Liquidity:** $42
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 4.24)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Apple Q2 iPhone revenue above $56B?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $105
  DATA: [Yes: 64.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Apple Q2 iPhone revenue above $60B?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $36
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Apple Q2 iPhone revenue above $58B?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $36
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETTech