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Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?

Name: Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$68.62K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?

Vol

$68.62K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $68.62K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $68.62K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

28 markets tracked

Will Ciryl Gane become UFC champion in 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(28)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Ciryl Gane become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	52%
Will Aljamain Sterling become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	51%
Will Charles Oliveira become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	51%
Will Magomed Ankalaev become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	51%
Will Cory Sandhagen become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	50%
Will Max Holloway become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	50%
Will Shavkat Rakhmonov become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	50%
Will Dricus Du Plessis become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	50%
Will Nassourdine Imavov become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	50%
Will Deiveson Figueiredo become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	50%
Will Sergei Pavlovich become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	50%
Will Merab Dvalishvili become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	49%
Will Belal Muhammad become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	49%
Will Alexander Volkov become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	49%
Will Kamaru Usman become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	49%
Will Yair Rodriguez become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	49%
Will Ian Machado Garry become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	49%
Will Leon Edwards become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	45%
Will Alexandre Pantoja become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	42%
Will Jiří Procházka become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	39%
Will Paddy Pimblett become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	30%
Will Sean Strickland become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	29%
Will Jack Della Maddalena become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	28%
Will Arman Tsarukyan become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	25%
Will Sean O'Malley become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	22%
Will Manel Kape become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	17%
Will Umar Nurmagomedov become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	13%
Will Diego Lopes become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	10%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

52%

Top Probability

$68.62K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, July 14, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 31, 2026 (170 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

The primary resol"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $68.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.7K
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 40.84)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Alexandre Pantoja become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $643
  DATA: [Yes: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Manel Kape become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Merab Dvalishvili become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Umar Nurmagomedov become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $895
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Sean O'Malley become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 22.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Cory Sandhagen become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $120
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Deiveson Figueiredo become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $48
  DATA: [Yes: 49.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.3% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Yair Rodriguez become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Diego Lopes become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $4.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.3% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Aljamain Sterling become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $52
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Arman Tsarukyan become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Charles Oliveira become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $35
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Max Holloway become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Paddy Pimblett become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $3.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 30.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.9% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Jack Della Maddalena become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.4% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Shavkat Rakhmonov become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Ian Machado Garry become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $272
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Belal Muhammad become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $250
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Kamaru Usman become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $6.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 48.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.2% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Leon Edwards become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $40.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Dricus Du Plessis become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Nassourdine Imavov become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Sean Strickland become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 28.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.4% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Magomed Ankalaev become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $824
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Jiří Procházka become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $3.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 39.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Ciryl Gane become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Alexander Volkov become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $252
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Sergei Pavlovich become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $29
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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