Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 9:10 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?

Name: Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?
End: 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$323.90K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?

Vol

$323.90K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $323.90K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Price gaps

of 0 cross-platform

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $323.90K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

26 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Merab Dvalishvili become UFC champion in 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(26)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Merab Dvalishvili become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	34%
Will Sean O'Malley become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	18%
Will Nassourdine Imavov become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	11%
Will Alexander Volkov become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	8%
Will Diego Lopes become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	8%
Will Magomed Ankalaev become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	7%
Will Manel Kape become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	6%
Will Paddy Pimblett become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	5%
Will Charles Oliveira become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	5%
Will Dricus Du Plessis become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	5%
Will Max Holloway become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	5%
Will Aljamain Sterling become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	3%
Will Ian Machado Garry become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	3%
Will Cory Sandhagen become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	3%
Will Shavkat Rakhmonov become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	3%
Will Yair Rodriguez become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	3%
Will Sergei Pavlovich become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	3%
Will Arman Tsarukyan become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	3%
Will Belal Muhammad become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	3%
Will Kamaru Usman become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	3%
Will Jiří Procházka become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	2%
Will Jack Della Maddalena become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	2%
Will Umar Nurmagomedov become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Leon Edwards become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Alexandre Pantoja become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Deiveson Figueiredo become UFC champion in 2026?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

34%

Top Probability

$323.90K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2027 (80 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

The primary resol"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $203.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $27.8K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 7.31)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Alexandre Pantoja become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $23.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Manel Kape become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $46.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Merab Dvalishvili become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Umar Nurmagomedov become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Sean O'Malley become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 17.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.2% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Cory Sandhagen become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $335
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Deiveson Figueiredo become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Yair Rodriguez become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $47
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Diego Lopes become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $6.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Aljamain Sterling become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $237
  DATA: [Yes: 3.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.6% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Arman Tsarukyan become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $5.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.1% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Charles Oliveira become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $134
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Max Holloway become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $122
  DATA: [Yes: 4.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.2% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Paddy Pimblett become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $4.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Jack Della Maddalena become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $49.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.2% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Shavkat Rakhmonov become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $73
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Ian Machado Garry become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Belal Muhammad become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $484
  DATA: [Yes: 2.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.2% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Kamaru Usman become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $6.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Leon Edwards become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $41.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Dricus Du Plessis become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $129
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Nassourdine Imavov become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Magomed Ankalaev become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.1% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Jiří Procházka become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $3.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.6% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Alexander Volkov become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $673
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Sergei Pavlovich become UFC champion in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $220
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

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