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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Venice Mayoral Election Winner

Name: Venice Mayoral Election Winner
End: 2026-05-25T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$45.92K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Venice Mayoral Election Winner

Vol

$45.92K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $45.92K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $45.92K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Poly	73%
Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Poly	28%
Will Michele Boldrin win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Poly	1%
Will Pierangelo Del Zotto win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Poly	0%
Will Giovanni Andrea Martini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

73%

Top Probability

$45.92K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The 2026 Venice, Italy mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 24 and 25, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 7 and 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, th

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Venice Mayoral Election Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 25, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** The 2026 Venice, Italy mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 24 and 25, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 7 and 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, th

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The 2026 Venice, Italy mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 24 and 25, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 7 and 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $45.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $35.8K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.28)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 25, 2026): Vol $14.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 72.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 27.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 25, 2026): Vol $15.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Michele Boldrin win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 25, 2026): Vol $7.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.7% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Pierangelo Del Zotto win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 25, 2026): Vol $3.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Giovanni Andrea Martini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 25, 2026): Vol $5.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics