Name: LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Season
End: 2026-04-18T17:30:00.000Z

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LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Season | PredictPedia

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Polymarket

markets · $98.57

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $98.57

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

25 markets tracked

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(25)

Market	Platform	Price
Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	67%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	64%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	64%
First Blood in Game 2?	Poly	52%
Game Handicap: MVK (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)	Poly	51%
First Blood in Game 1?	Poly	51%
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	41%
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner	Poly	32%
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner	Poly	31%
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	28%
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	28%
Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	28%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	28%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	28%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	28%
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	28%
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	28%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	28%
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	28%
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	28%
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Season	Poly	23%
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	23%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

67%

Top Probability

$98.57

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the LoL match between DetonatioN FocusMe and MVK Esports in the LCP Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 18 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "DetonatioN FocusMe" if DetonatioN FocusMe win the match against MVK Esports. This market will resolve to "MVK Esports" if MVK Esports win the match against DetonatioN FocusMe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determine

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, April 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Season
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 18, 2026 (2 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This market refers to the LoL match between DetonatioN FocusMe and MVK Esports in the LCP Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 18 at 7:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to "DetonatioN FocusMe" if DetonatioN FocusMe win the match against MVK Esports.

This market will resolve to "MVK Esports" if MVK Esports win the match against DetonatioN FocusMe.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determine

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the LoL match between DetonatioN FocusMe and MVK Esports in the LCP Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 18 at 7:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to "DetonatioN FocusMe" if DetonatioN FocusMe win the match against MVK Esports.

This market will resolve to "MVK Esport"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $99
* **Total Liquidity:** $6.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.02)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Season
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $84
  DATA: [DetonatioN FocusMe: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [MVK Esports: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [DetonatioN FocusMe: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [MVK Esports: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [DetonatioN FocusMe: 31.0% (0.0%)] | [MVK Esports: 69.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $2
  DATA: [Over: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 59.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Game Handicap: MVK (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [MVK Esports: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [DetonatioN FocusMe: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 63.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $13
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 67.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 63.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. First Blood in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [DetonatioN FocusMe: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [MVK Esports: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. First Blood in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [DetonatioN FocusMe: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [MVK Esports: 48.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Season

Volume$98.57

Markets25

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POLYMARKET

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 67.0¢No 33.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 2. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. O

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 63.5¢No 36.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. O

POLYMARKET

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 63.5¢No 36.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 3. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. O

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 28.5¢No 71.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. This market

POLYMARKET

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 28.5¢No 71.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 2. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 2. This market

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Next Market Closes

1d 22h remaining

Apr 18, 2026 5:30 PM

Market Insights

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38¢

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Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Season

Markets (25)

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

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Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Season

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

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