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| Market | Platform | Price |
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![]() | Poly | 25% |
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
This event is for the CBB game between Bucknell Bison and Colgate Raiders on January 17 at 2:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction markets are pricing in a decisive victory for the Colgate Raiders. The "Colgate Raiders" share is trading at approximately 75% on Polymarket, implying the market assigns a 75% probability that Colgate will win the game. Conversely, the "Bucknell Bison" share trades at only 25%. A 75% chance suggests the market views a Colgate win as the clear, expected outcome, though it still acknowledges a meaningful possibility of an upset by Bucknell.
Two primary factors are driving this lopsided pricing. First, the significant disparity in team performance and standings within the Patriot League is paramount. Colgate has established itself as the conference's dominant program in recent seasons, consistently competing for the league title. Bucknell, a former powerhouse, has struggled in its rebuild and entered this contest near the bottom of the conference standings. Second, the location of the game provides a major edge. This contest will be played at Colgate's Cotterell Court in Hamilton, New York, where the Raiders typically enjoy a strong home-court advantage, especially in conference play. The market is heavily weighting these fundamental competitive and situational edges.
The primary catalyst for a shift in these odds would be significant team news, such as a key injury or health status report for a Colgate starter ahead of tip-off. Barring that, the market consensus is unlikely to change dramatically. However, the 25% price on Bucknell reflects the inherent volatility of a single college basketball game, where three-point shooting variance or an exceptional individual performance can override talent differentials. A close first half or an early Bucknell lead could see the Bison's share price experience a short-term spike, though the market currently expects Colgate's quality to prevail over 40 minutes.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
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The Bucknell Bison versus Colgate Raiders men's basketball game scheduled for January 17 at 2:00 PM ET is a Patriot League conference matchup with significant implications for the 2024-2025 season standings. This contest features two historic programs within the conference, with Bucknell located in Lewisburg, Pennsylvania, and Colgate based in Hamilton, New York. The game will be played at Cotterell Court in Hamilton, New York, which is Colgate's home venue. This specific matchup is part of the 18-game Patriot League regular season schedule, where each team plays every other team twice, once at home and once away. The outcome influences seeding for the Patriot League Tournament in March, where the champion receives an automatic bid to the NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament, commonly known as March Madness. Prediction markets are interested in this game as it represents a quantifiable event with a binary outcome, allowing for wagering on the winner, point spreads, and other derivatives. The interest stems from both the competitive balance often seen in Patriot League play and the broader ecosystem of sports betting and predictive analytics. Recent developments include both teams navigating non-conference schedules and entering the heart of league play, where every game carries increased weight. Analysts and fans follow these matchups closely to gauge team form, player development, and postseason potential.
The basketball rivalry between Bucknell and Colgate dates back to their shared history in the Patriot League, which was founded in 1990. Bucknell has historically been one of the league's most successful programs, winning six Patriot League tournament championships, most recently in 2018. Their most famous moment came in 2005 and 2006, when they secured historic upsets as a 14-seed over Kansas and a 9-seed over Arkansas in the NCAA Tournament, cementing their David versus Goliath reputation. Colgate's basketball history was marked by moderate success until the arrival of head coach Matt Langel. Under his guidance, beginning in the 2018-2019 season, Colgate has undergone a dramatic transformation. The Raiders have won five of the last six Patriot League regular season titles from 2019 to 2024, and four tournament championships in that span (2019, 2021, 2022, 2023), earning automatic bids to the NCAA Tournament. This era has established a clear power dynamic, with Colgate as the conference's modern dynasty. The head-to-head series reflects this shift. While the all-time series remains competitive, Colgate has won 12 of the last 14 meetings against Bucknell as of the start of the 2024-2025 season. This recent dominance is the primary historical context for any current matchup, framing it as a test of whether Bucknell can close the gap on the league's standard-bearer.
Beyond the immediate result, this game matters for the competitive landscape and financial ecosystem of mid-major college basketball. For the Patriot League, consistent competition and compelling narratives are essential for media rights deals, alumni engagement, and recruiting. A strong challenge from a historic program like Bucknell against the established power Colgate helps maintain conference relevance and visibility. For the institutions, success in high-profile sports like basketball drives alumni donations, boosts student applications, and fosters school spirit. A win for Bucknell would signal a potential resurgence, energizing their fanbase and aiding in recruiting battles within the conference. For Colgate, maintaining dominance reinforces their brand as the premier program in the league, which has tangible benefits for fundraising and national exposure. Furthermore, the game is a data point in the expansive world of sports analytics and betting. Oddsmakers, predictive models, and bettors use the outcomes of such conference games to refine power ratings and set lines for future games and tournaments. The performance of key players also influences individual award races, such as Patriot League Player of the Year, which carries prestige for the athlete and the university.
As of early January 2025, both teams are engaged in Patriot League conference play. The specific records and rankings will be determined by results leading up to the January 17 matchup. The latest developments involve each team's performance in their non-conference schedules and initial league games, which shape their momentum, reveal strengths and weaknesses, and influence betting lines for this contest. Player health, particularly regarding any key contributors from either squad, will be a major point of focus in pre-game reporting. Sportsbooks will have released point spreads and moneylines for the game, reflecting the perceived strength of each team based on their early-season results and Colgate's established home-court advantage.
The game will be played at Cotterell Court, which is the home basketball arena for the Colgate Raiders, located in Hamilton, New York. This gives Colgate the home-court advantage for this conference matchup.
Patriot League games are typically broadcast on the ESPN+ streaming service or the CBS Sports Network linear television channel. The specific broadcast details for this January 17 game will be announced by the Patriot League and the schools closer to the date.
Based on recent history and Colgate's sustained success, the Colgate Raiders will almost certainly be favored by sportsbooks, especially playing at home. The exact point spread will be set based on both teams' records and performance leading up to the game.
In states where sports betting is legal, you can place wagers through licensed online sportsbooks or retail locations. Common bets for this game include the moneyline (picking the winner), the point spread, and the over/under on the total points scored.
This is a Patriot League conference game, so the result directly impacts both teams' standings in the league. Conference record determines seeding for the Patriot League Tournament in March, where the champion earns an automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
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