Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro

Name: Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro
End: 2026-10-19T10:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$139.48

Events

Markets

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Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro

Vol

$139.48

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $139.48

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $139.48

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Trungelliti vs. Monteiro: Match Over/Under 21.5

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Trungelliti vs. Monteiro: Match Over/Under 21.5	Poly	71%
Trungelliti vs. Monteiro: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	62%
Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro	Poly	56%
Set 1 Winner: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro	Poly	56%
Maia: Completed Match: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro	Poly	54%
Trungelliti vs. Monteiro: Match Over/Under 22.5	Poly	53%
Game Spread: Marco Trungelliti (-1.5) vs Thiago Monteiro (+1.5)	Poly	51%
Set 2 Winner: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro	Poly	50%
Trungelliti vs. Monteiro: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	49%
Trungelliti vs. Monteiro: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	49%
Trungelliti vs. Monteiro: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	49%
Trungelliti vs. Monteiro: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	49%
Trungelliti vs. Monteiro: Match Over/Under 23.5	Poly	47%
Trungelliti vs. Monteiro: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	45%
Marco Trungelliti vs. Thiago Monteiro: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5	Poly	42%
Set Handicap: Marco Trungelliti (-1.5) vs Thiago Monteiro (+1.5)	Poly	35%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

71%

Top Probability

$139.48

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Thiago Monteiro in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Trungelliti' if Marco Trungelliti advances against Thiago Monteiro. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Monteiro' if Thiago Monteiro advances against Marco Trungelliti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 19, 2026 (8 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Thiago Monteiro in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Marco Trungelliti' if Marco Trungelliti advances against Thiago Monteiro.

This market will resolve to 'Thiago Monteiro' if Thiago Monteiro advances against Marco Trungelliti.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Thiago Monteiro in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Marco Trungelliti' if Marco Trungelliti advances against Thiago Monteiro.

This market will resolve to 'Thiago Monte"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $139
* **Total Liquidity:** $72.2K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $126
  DATA: [Marco Trungelliti: 56.0% (0.0%)] | [Thiago Monteiro: 44.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Maia: Completed Match: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set 1 Winner: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Marco Trungelliti: 56.0% (0.0%)] | [Thiago Monteiro: 44.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Set 2 Winner: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Marco Trungelliti: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Thiago Monteiro: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Marco Trungelliti vs. Thiago Monteiro: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over 2.5: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [Under 2.5: 58.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Trungelliti vs. Monteiro: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Trungelliti vs. Monteiro: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Trungelliti vs. Monteiro: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 62.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 38.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Trungelliti vs. Monteiro: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Trungelliti vs. Monteiro: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Trungelliti vs. Monteiro: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Trungelliti vs. Monteiro: Match Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $13
  DATA: [Over: 70.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 29.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Trungelliti vs. Monteiro: Match Over/Under 22.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Trungelliti vs. Monteiro: Match Over/Under 23.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 53.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Set Handicap: Marco Trungelliti (-1.5) vs Thiago Monteiro (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Marco Trungelliti: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [Thiago Monteiro: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game Spread: Marco Trungelliti (-1.5) vs Thiago Monteiro (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Marco Trungelliti: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Thiago Monteiro: 49.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro

Volume$139.48

Markets16

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POLYMARKET

Maia: Completed Match: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 53.5¢No 46.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Maia: Completed Match: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro

POLYMARKET

Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro

POLYMARKET

Set 1 Winner: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 1 Winner: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro

POLYMARKET

Set 2 Winner: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 2 Winner: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro

POLYMARKET

Marco Trungelliti vs. Thiago Monteiro: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Marco Trungelliti vs. Thiago Monteiro: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Thiago Monteiro in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 3, and to "Under" ot

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Oct 19, 2026, 10:00 AM UTC

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

51¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/iYcOHv" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro"></iframe>

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Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro

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Trungelliti vs. Monteiro: Match Over/Under 21.5

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro

Markets (16)

Maia: Completed Match: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro

Maia: Completed Match: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro

Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro

Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro

Set 1 Winner: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro

Set 1 Winner: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro

Set 2 Winner: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro

Set 2 Winner: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro

Marco Trungelliti vs. Thiago Monteiro: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Marco Trungelliti vs. Thiago Monteiro: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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Trungelliti vs. Monteiro: Match Over/Under 21.5

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro

Maia: Completed Match: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro

Maia: Completed Match: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro

Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro

Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro

Set 1 Winner: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro

Set 1 Winner: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro

Set 2 Winner: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro

Set 2 Winner: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro

Marco Trungelliti vs. Thiago Monteiro: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Marco Trungelliti vs. Thiago Monteiro: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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