Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Bank of Israel rate decision in October

Total Volume

$9.75K

Events

Markets

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Bank of Israel rate decision in October

Vol

$9.75K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $9.75K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $9.75K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will the Bank of Israel Maintain current rate at the October Monetary Committee meeting?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Bank of Israel Maintain current rate at the October Monetary Committee meeting?	Kalshi	89%
Will the Bank of Israel Cut 1-25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?	Kalshi	13%
Will the Bank of Israel Hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?	Kalshi	4%
Will the Bank of Israel Hike more than 25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?	Kalshi	4%
Will the Bank of Israel Cut more than 25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

89%

Top Probability

$9.75K

Volume

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About This Event

Oct 21, 2026 meeting If the Bank of Israel takes the action X more than 25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes b

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Bank of Israel rate decision in October
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Oct 21, 2026 meeting

If the Bank of Israel takes the action X more than 25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes b

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Bank of Israel takes the action of Maintain current rate at the October Monetary Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, onl"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $9.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the Bank of Israel Maintain current rate at the October Monetary Committee meeting?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $5.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 89.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the Bank of Israel Hike more than 25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $466
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the Bank of Israel Hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $597
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the Bank of Israel Cut more than 25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $610
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the Bank of Israel Cut 1-25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Bank of Israel rate decision in October

Volume$9.75K

Markets5

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KALSHI

Will the Bank of Israel Maintain current rate at the October Monetary Committee meeting?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 89.0¢No 11.0¢

KALSHITech

Will the Bank of Israel Maintain current rate at the October Monetary Committee meeting?

If the Bank of Israel takes the action of Maintain current rate at the October Monetary Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, onl

KALSHI

Will the Bank of Israel Cut 1-25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will the Bank of Israel Cut 1-25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?

If the Bank of Israel takes the action of Cut 1-25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes

KALSHI

Will the Bank of Israel Hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.0¢No 96.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will the Bank of Israel Hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?

If the Bank of Israel takes the action of Hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes

KALSHI

Will the Bank of Israel Hike more than 25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will the Bank of Israel Hike more than 25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?

If the Bank of Israel takes the action of Hike more than 25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only

KALSHI

Will the Bank of Israel Cut more than 25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.0¢No 99.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will the Bank of Israel Cut more than 25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?

If the Bank of Israel takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only

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22¢

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Bank of Israel rate decision in October

Bank of Israel rate decision in October

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Will the Bank of Israel Maintain current rate at the October Monetary Committee meeting?

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Events (1)

Bank of Israel rate decision in October

Markets (5)

Will the Bank of Israel Maintain current rate at the October Monetary Committee meeting?

Will the Bank of Israel Maintain current rate at the October Monetary Committee meeting?

Will the Bank of Israel Cut 1-25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?

Will the Bank of Israel Cut 1-25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?

Will the Bank of Israel Hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?

Will the Bank of Israel Hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?

Will the Bank of Israel Hike more than 25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?

Will the Bank of Israel Hike more than 25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?

Will the Bank of Israel Cut more than 25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?

Will the Bank of Israel Cut more than 25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?

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Will the Bank of Israel Maintain current rate at the October Monetary Committee meeting?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Bank of Israel rate decision in October

Will the Bank of Israel Maintain current rate at the October Monetary Committee meeting?

Will the Bank of Israel Maintain current rate at the October Monetary Committee meeting?

Will the Bank of Israel Cut 1-25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?

Will the Bank of Israel Cut 1-25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?

Will the Bank of Israel Hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?

Will the Bank of Israel Hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?

Will the Bank of Israel Hike more than 25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?

Will the Bank of Israel Hike more than 25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?

Will the Bank of Israel Cut more than 25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?

Will the Bank of Israel Cut more than 25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?

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