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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETWorld

2026 FIFA World Cup: Nation to Reach Final

Name: 2026 FIFA World Cup: Nation to Reach Final
End: 2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$2.02K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

2026 FIFA World Cup: Nation to Reach Final

Vol

$2.02K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $2.02K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.02K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

48 markets tracked

Will Ivory Coast reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(48)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Ivory Coast reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	40%
Will South Korea reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	40%
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	37%
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	36%
Will Iran reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	32%
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	32%
Will New Zealand reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	25%
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	23%
Will Qatar reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	18%
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	17%
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	16%
Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	12%
Will Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	11%
Will Scotland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	9%
Will Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	8%
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	7%
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	7%
Will Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	7%
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	6%
Will Australia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	6%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	6%
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	6%
Will Paraguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	6%
Will Jordan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	6%
Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	6%
Will Haiti reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	5%
Will Sweden reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	5%
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	5%
Will Czechia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	5%
Will Austria reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	5%
Will Iraq reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	5%
Will Senegal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	5%
Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	5%
Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	4%
Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	4%
Will Uruguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	4%
Will South Africa reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	3%
Will Ecuador reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	3%
Will Uzbekistan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	2%
Will Panama reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	2%
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	2%
Will Ghana reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	2%
Will Tunisia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	2%
Will Saudi Arabia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	2%
Will Algeria reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	2%
Will DR Congo reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	1%
Will Curacao reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	1%
Will Cape Verde reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

40%

Top Probability

$2.02K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolut

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** 2026 FIFA World Cup: Nation to Reach Final
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jul 20, 2026 (10 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. 

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolut

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. 

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $945.5K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will South Korea reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $11
  DATA: [Yes: 40.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.8% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Czechia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $35
  DATA: [Yes: 5.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.8% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $35
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Haiti reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $30
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Australia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $35
  DATA: [Yes: 5.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.4% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Ecuador reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Curacao reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $135
  DATA: [Yes: 1.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.7% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $900
  DATA: [Yes: 4.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.9% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Sweden reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $30
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Iran reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $81
  DATA: [Yes: 32.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.8% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $30
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will New Zealand reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will South Africa reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $31
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Uruguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Qatar reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Cape Verde reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $54
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Senegal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $15
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Scotland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $31
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Iraq reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $35
  DATA: [Yes: 5.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.9% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Paraguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Austria reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $71
  DATA: [Yes: 5.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.8% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $15
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Jordan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $30
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Ivory Coast reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $49
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.6% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $30
  DATA: [Yes: 4.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.8% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $30
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will DR Congo reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $58
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 34. Will Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 35. Will Ghana reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $30
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 36. Will Tunisia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $30
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 37. Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 38. Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 39. Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 40. Will Saudi Arabia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $30
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 41. Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 42. Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 43. Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 44. Will Algeria reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $30
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 45. Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 46. Will Uzbekistan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $63
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.6% (0.0%)]

### 47. Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 48. Will Panama reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $63
  DATA: [Yes: 2.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETWorld