Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETClimate

Highest temperature in Atlanta on October 14?

Name: Highest temperature in Atlanta on October 14?
End: 2026-10-14T12:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$2.96K

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Markets

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Highest temperature in Atlanta on October 14?

Vol

$2.96K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $2.96K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.96K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 14?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 14?	Poly	52%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 14?	Poly	36%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 14?	Poly	11%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on October 14?	Poly	4%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 14?	Poly	2%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on October 14?	Poly	1%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 14?	Poly	1%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on October 14?	Poly	1%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 96°F or higher on October 14?	Poly	1%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 77°F or below on October 14?	Poly	0%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 14?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

52%

Top Probability

$2.96K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Da

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Highest temperature in Atlanta on October 14?
**Category:** Climate | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 14, 2026 (2 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Oct '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Da

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Oct '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $83.6K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.04)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 77°F or below on October 14?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $154
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 14?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $84
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 14?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $101
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 14?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $211
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.2% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 14?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $741
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 14?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $675
  DATA: [Yes: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 14?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $473
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on October 14?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $225
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on October 14?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $101
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on October 14?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $86
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 96°F or higher on October 14?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $104
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETClimate