Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Real Madrid vs Sevilla: Spread

Total Volume

$400.00

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Markets

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Real Madrid vs Sevilla: Spread

Vol

$400.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $400.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $400.00

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Real Madrid wins by more than 1.5 goals?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Real Madrid wins by more than 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	56%
Real Madrid wins by more than 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	35%
Sevilla wins by more than 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	15%
Sevilla wins by more than 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	13%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

56%

Top Probability

$400.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

RMA vs SEV (Oct 18) If Sevilla wins by more than X goals in the Real Madrid vs Sevilla professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will clo

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Real Madrid vs Sevilla: Spread
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** RMA vs SEV (Oct 18)

If Sevilla wins by more than X goals in the Real Madrid vs Sevilla professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will clo

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Sevilla wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Real Madrid vs Sevilla professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, asso"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $400
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Sevilla wins by more than 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $313
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Sevilla wins by more than 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $87
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Real Madrid wins by more than 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 34.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Real Madrid wins by more than 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 55.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Real Madrid vs Sevilla: Spread

Volume$400.00

Markets4

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KALSHI

Real Madrid wins by more than 1.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 55.5¢No 44.5¢

KALSHISports

Real Madrid wins by more than 1.5 goals?

If Real Madrid wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Real Madrid vs Sevilla professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated,

KALSHI

Real Madrid wins by more than 2.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 34.5¢No 65.5¢

KALSHISports

Real Madrid wins by more than 2.5 goals?

If Real Madrid wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Real Madrid vs Sevilla professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated,

KALSHI

Sevilla wins by more than 1.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 14.5¢No 85.5¢

KALSHISports

Sevilla wins by more than 1.5 goals?

If Sevilla wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Real Madrid vs Sevilla professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, asso

KALSHI

Sevilla wins by more than 2.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢

KALSHISports

Sevilla wins by more than 2.5 goals?

If Sevilla wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Real Madrid vs Sevilla professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, asso

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Average Yes Price

29¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/ik_1W-" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Real Madrid vs Sevilla: Spread"></iframe>

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Real Madrid vs Sevilla: Spread

Real Madrid vs Sevilla: Spread

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Real Madrid wins by more than 1.5 goals?

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Events (1)

Real Madrid vs Sevilla: Spread

Markets (4)

Real Madrid wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Real Madrid wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Real Madrid wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Real Madrid wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Sevilla wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Sevilla wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Sevilla wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Sevilla wins by more than 2.5 goals?

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Real Madrid wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Real Madrid vs Sevilla: Spread

Real Madrid wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Real Madrid wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Real Madrid wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Real Madrid wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Sevilla wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Sevilla wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Sevilla wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Sevilla wins by more than 2.5 goals?

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