Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Fulton County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)

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$3.85K

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Fulton County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)

Vol

$3.85K

Events

Markets

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $3.85K

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0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.85K

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10 markets tracked

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?

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Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?	Kalshi	96%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?	Kalshi	86%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 75% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?	Kalshi	73%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?	Kalshi	56%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 77% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?	Kalshi	38%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 78% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?	Kalshi	22%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 80% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?	Kalshi	5%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 86% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?	Kalshi	3%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 84% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?	Kalshi	3%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 82% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

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96%

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$3.85K

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About This Event

Vote Percent - Jon Ossoff If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jon Ossoff in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia is X to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as, total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast, × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Fulton County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Vote Percent - Jon Ossoff

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jon Ossoff in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia is X to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as, total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast, × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jon Ossoff in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia is 77% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 77% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 75% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 73.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 27.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 86% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 84% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $861
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 82% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $300
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 80% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $742
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 78% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $400
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 56.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 85.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 96.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Fulton County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)

Volume$3.85K

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KALSHI

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.0¢No 4.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jon Ossoff in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia is 72% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by

KALSHI

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 85.5¢No 14.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jon Ossoff in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia is 74% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by

KALSHI

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 75% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 73.0¢No 27.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 75% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jon Ossoff in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia is 75% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by

KALSHI

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 56.0¢No 44.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jon Ossoff in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia is 76% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by

KALSHI

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 77% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 37.5¢No 62.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 77% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jon Ossoff in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia is 77% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/ioRK8C" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Fulton County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)"></iframe>

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Fulton County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)

Fulton County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)

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Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?

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Events (1)

Fulton County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)

Markets (10)

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 75% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 75% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 77% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 77% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?

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Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Fulton County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 75% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 75% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 77% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 77% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?

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