Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Australia unemployment rate in September

Total Volume

$269.86

Events

Markets

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Australia unemployment rate in September

Vol

$269.86

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $269.86

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $269.86

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.1%)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.1%)	Kalshi	98%
Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.2%)	Kalshi	97%
Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.3%)	Kalshi	97%
Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.4%)	Kalshi	95%
Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.5%)	Kalshi	76%
Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.6%)	Kalshi	49%
Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.7%)	Kalshi	19%
Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.8%)	Kalshi	5%
Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.9%)	Kalshi	3%
Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.0%)	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$269.86

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Australia UE Sep 2026 If the Australia unemployment rate is above X for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Australia unemployment rate in September
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Australia UE Sep 2026

If the Australia unemployment rate is above X for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Australia unemployment rate is above 5.0% for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $270
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.0%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.9%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.8%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $89
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.7%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $71
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.6%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.5%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 76.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.4%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.3%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.2%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.1%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Australia unemployment rate in September

Volume$269.86

Markets10

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KALSHI

Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.1%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.0¢No 2.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.1%)

If the Australia unemployment rate is above 4.1% for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.2%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.0¢No 3.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.2%)

If the Australia unemployment rate is above 4.2% for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.3%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.3%)

If the Australia unemployment rate is above 4.3% for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.4%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.5¢No 5.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.4%)

If the Australia unemployment rate is above 4.4% for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.5%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 76.0¢No 24.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.5%)

If the Australia unemployment rate is above 4.5% for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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54¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/ivSd19" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Australia unemployment rate in September"></iframe>

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Australia unemployment rate in September

Australia unemployment rate in September

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Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.1%)

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Events (1)

Australia unemployment rate in September

Markets (10)

Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.1%)

Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.1%)

Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.2%)

Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.2%)

Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.3%)

Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.3%)

Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.4%)

Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.4%)

Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.5%)

Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.5%)

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Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.1%)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Australia unemployment rate in September

Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.1%)

Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.1%)

Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.2%)

Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.2%)

Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.3%)

Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.3%)

Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.4%)

Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.4%)

Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.5%)

Australia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.5%)

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