Name: Alianza FC vs. Once Caldas
End: 2026-02-08T21:10:00.000Z

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Alianza FC vs. Once Caldas | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will Alianza FC vs. Once Caldas end in a draw?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Alianza FC vs. Once Caldas end in a draw?	Poly	100%
Will Alianza FC win on 2026-02-08?	Poly	0%
Will Once Caldas win on 2026-02-08?	Poly	0%

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Alianza FC vs. Once Caldas
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Feb 8, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming Colombia Primera A game, scheduled for Sunday, February 8, 2026 between Alianza FC and Once Caldas.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for February 8, 2026
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $12.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.28)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Alianza FC vs. Once Caldas end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 8, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.4% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Alianza FC win on 2026-02-08?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 8, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Once Caldas win on 2026-02-08?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 8, 2026): Vol $834
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

33¢

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Alianza FC vs. Once Caldas

Alianza FC vs. Once Caldas

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Will Alianza FC vs. Once Caldas end in a draw?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Alianza FC vs. Once Caldas

Markets (3)

Will Alianza FC vs. Once Caldas end in a draw?

Will Alianza FC vs. Once Caldas end in a draw?

Will Alianza FC win on 2026-02-08?

Will Alianza FC win on 2026-02-08?

Will Once Caldas win on 2026-02-08?

Will Once Caldas win on 2026-02-08?

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Will Alianza FC vs. Once Caldas end in a draw?

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Alianza FC vs. Once Caldas

Will Alianza FC vs. Once Caldas end in a draw?

Will Alianza FC vs. Once Caldas end in a draw?

Will Alianza FC win on 2026-02-08?

Will Alianza FC win on 2026-02-08?

Will Once Caldas win on 2026-02-08?

Will Once Caldas win on 2026-02-08?

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