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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Highest temperature in Chicago on October 22?

Highest temperature in Chicago on October 22?
Vol

PM $670.75

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Events

1

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Markets

11

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 20, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is 70-71°F at 37.5%.

Polymarket

  1. 70-71°F37.5%
  2. 72-73°F34%
  3. 74-75°F15.5%
  4. 68-69°F9.5%
  5. 66-67°F6.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $670.75

Reported volume · provider units

11

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Istanbul on October 22?

Highest temperature in Istanbul on October 22?

PM $8.2K
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?Yes 50.4%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on October 22?Yes 24.5%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 22?Yes 20%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Ankara on October 22?

Highest temperature in Ankara on October 22?

PM $4.9K
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 22?Yes 48.5%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 22?Yes 37%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 22?Yes 11.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 22?

Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 22?

PM $3.8K
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 22?Yes 49.5%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 22?Yes 44%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 22?Yes 4.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Milan on October 22?

Highest temperature in Milan on October 22?

PM $3.6K
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 22?Yes 44.5%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 22?Yes 34.5%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 22?Yes 9.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Wuhan on October 22?

Highest temperature in Wuhan on October 22?

PM $3.3K
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 22?Yes 31%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 22?Yes 24.5%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 22?Yes 24%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Taipei on October 22?

Highest temperature in Taipei on October 22?

PM $2.8K
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 22?Yes 37.5%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on October 22?Yes 22%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 22?Yes 21%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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