Binghamton Bearcats vs. UMBC Retrievers (W) | PredictPedia

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Binghamton Bearcats vs. UMBC Retrievers (W)

Name: Binghamton Bearcats vs. UMBC Retrievers (W)
End: 2026-01-17T19:00:00.000Z

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Binghamton Bearcats vs. UMBC Retrievers (W)

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Binghamton Bearcats vs. UMBC Retrievers (W)

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Market	Platform	Price
Binghamton Bearcats vs. UMBC Retrievers (W)	Poly	50%

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About This Event

This event is for the WBB game between Binghamton Bearcats and UMBC Retrievers on January 17 at 2:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Binghamton Bearcats vs. UMBC Retrievers (W)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 17, 2026 (2 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This event is for the WBB game between Binghamton Bearcats and UMBC Retrievers on January 17 at 2:00 PM ET.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming WBB game, scheduled for January 17 at 2:00 PM ET:

If the Binghamton Bearcats win, the market will resolve to "Binghamton Bearcats".

If the UMBC Retrievers win, the market will resolve to "UMBC Retrievers".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has b"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $46
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Binghamton Bearcats vs. UMBC Retrievers (W)
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Binghamton Bearcats: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [UMBC Retrievers: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Overview

This prediction market topic concerns the outcome of a women's college basketball game scheduled for January 17 at 2:00 PM Eastern Time between the Binghamton Bearcats and the UMBC Retrievers. The market allows participants to wager on which team will win this specific contest, part of the America East Conference regular season. The resolution rules are clearly defined: if the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion, and if canceled without a makeup date, it resolves as a 50-50 split. This creates a financial instrument tied directly to the athletic performance of two NCAA Division I programs on a specified date. The America East Conference women's basketball season is a critical component of both teams' annual schedules, with conference standings determining seeding for the postseason tournament, which awards an automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament. Interest in this market stems from sports bettors, alumni, and fans analyzing team matchups, recent form, injuries, and home-court advantage to predict a winner. The specific timing and resolution conditions add layers of strategic consideration for market participants beyond simply picking a team.

Historical Context

The Binghamton-UMBC women's basketball rivalry is a recurring feature of the America East Conference schedule. The series history dates back to UMBC's entry into the conference for the 2003-2004 season. Historically, the matchup has been competitive, with both programs experiencing periods of success. Binghamton won the America East tournament championship in 2019, earning an NCAA Tournament berth, while UMBC's most successful season in recent history was in 2021-2022 when they finished with a winning conference record. In the 2022-2023 season, the teams split their two regular-season meetings, with each winning on their home court. Binghamton won 66-58 at home on January 14, 2023, and UMBC returned the favor with a 64-56 victory in Baltimore on February 8, 2023. This pattern of home-court advantage is a significant historical trend in the series. The upcoming January 17 game continues this annual conference rivalry, with both teams typically fighting for positioning in the middle of the America East standings, making each head-to-head result crucial for tournament seeding.

Why It Matters

Beyond the immediate game result, this matchup has implications for the America East Conference standings, which directly influence seeding for the conference tournament in March. A higher seed provides a more favorable path to the tournament championship and the automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament, a pinnacle achievement for mid-major programs. For the athletes and coaches, these conference games are evaluations of season-long progress and resilience. For the universities, success in basketball can enhance campus spirit, alumni engagement, and institutional visibility. The prediction market itself matters as part of the growing ecosystem of event derivatives, allowing for the expression of informed opinions on athletic outcomes in a financial context. It provides a measurable gauge of public sentiment on the game's likely winner, distinct from traditional sportsbook odds.

Current Status

As of the latest updates prior to the January 17 tip-off, both teams are engaged in America East Conference play. Their records, recent performance trends, and any last-minute injury reports or roster availability will be the primary factors influencing market sentiment. The specific starting lineups announced just before game time will provide final clues. All scheduled practices and media availabilities have concluded, with both teams having traveled and prepared for the conference showdown. The market is active and accepting positions based on the latest available information, with volatility expected as game time approaches and any final news breaks.

Frequently Asked Questions

Where is the Binghamton vs UMBC women's basketball game being played?

The game is scheduled to be played at the Binghamton University Events Center in Vestal, New York. This is the home court for the Binghamton Bearcats, giving them the home-court advantage for this contest.

What happens to the prediction market if the basketball game is postponed due to weather?

According to the market rules, if the game is postponed to a later date, the prediction market will remain open and unresolved until the game is actually completed. The market will then resolve based on the outcome of the rescheduled game.

How can I watch the Binghamton Bearcats vs UMBC Retrievers game?

The game will likely be broadcast on ESPN+ or another America East Conference digital partner as part of their conference package. Local radio broadcasts may also be available through the universities' athletic websites.

Who is favored to win between Binghamton and UMBC in women's basketball?

Sportsbook odds and prediction market probabilities will indicate the favorite. Typically, the home team (Binghamton) may have a slight edge, but the exact favorite depends on current team records, injuries, and recent performance leading up to January 17.

What is the historical win-loss record between Binghamton and UMBC in women's basketball?

The all-time series history is close. In the most recent complete season (2022-2023), the teams split their two meetings, each winning on their home court. The full historical record can be found on the America East Conference or team sports information websites.

Was this helpful?

Updated Jan 14, 2026

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

Next Market Closes

1d 7h remaining

Jan 17, 2026 7:00 PM

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Binghamton Bearcats vs. UMBC Retrievers (W)

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Educational Context

Overview

Historical Context

Why It Matters

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Frequently Asked Questions

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